There looks to be a significant chance that there could be a few shocks in this race as the fav is drawn on the wing and I’m not convinced by many here. Cougar Mountain wants a really quick 1 mile on good/firm and that is I’m what he will get today . On this years form he would appear to have no chance but he has run good races in stronger groups 1 than this before and 50/1 is value .
1 point ew 50/1 Sky / Vc / lads
Cotai Glory will have only 1 big target this year and that is today . He was second for us last year at a huge price and is available again at a big looking 33/1 with 4 places . If he has normal improvement from 4-5 and also finds a couple of pounds on faster ground he has a decent chance here . 33/1 is value for race form here over the years .
1 point ew 4 places 1/4 365 33/1 1/5 various
Surprise surprise , this is the easiest pick of the week . Lancaster Bomber is about 6/4 to place here on decent ground and 25/1 is silly .
2 points ew 25/1 1/4 365 25/1 1/5 generally
Suegioo looks the classiest horse in this race and with it being such a tight handicap he isn’t giving much weight to anything here . He looks a near certainty to be in the first 5 places . Both his group form last year and gradual improvement this year in handicaps makes a strong case for him here . 22/1 with 5 places seems too big.
2 points ew 22/1 5 places lads/ sky 20/1 paddy
Us Navy Flag wasn’t that far behind Brother Bear in Ireland after showing speed early on ground that would be too soft . If he gets the usual improvement fir far ground he is certainly bred to take a hand here at a huge price . I think it’s somewhat significant that he is coming at all as he won’t be a pacemaker in this race .
1 point ew 50/1 4 places Generally .