I’m going with another unexposed horse here. Shabeeb looked a very good horse on good-firm last year. He won 2 decent races and ran great in a race that has worked out really well at Newmarket. He has had 1 poor run this year and shows up here for a trainer in form at a huge price. I think he has a workable mark here and 40/1 with 5 places looks huge.
The other Horse I’m interested in here is Lustrous Light at a huge price. He looks a decent near group class horse in Ireland and I’m hopeful he has been moved to the uk for better ground. He has enough form in the book already to make his 50/1 price too big of this mark
2 Points EW Shabeeb 5 places 40/1 Paddy/Betfair 4places ¼ bet365 40/1
1 Point EW Lustrous Light 5 places 50/1 Paddy/Betfair 40/1 6 places sky
The low drawn horses look to have this in a stranglehold but I’m going to go with value on the other side in Actress. She ran well enough against the hot fav last time out and she has been totally written off because she has been beaten by a potential superstar. She is a silly 66/1 with 365 and id be knocking them over at that price but the general 33/1 4 places is plenty good enough
1 Point EW 66/1 4 places 365 33/1 4 places generally
On the low side I’m going to go with Wesley Wards 2nd string Princess Peggy. There is nothing between his 2 runners here and she is just too big at 22/1.
1 Point ew 22/1 4 places Princess Peggy generally
Roly Poly has an equal chance of any of the shorter priced horses in the w/o winter race and I think 8/1 is at least 3 points too big . She really improved on her last run and could be better again here.
1 point win r8/1 w/o winter sky/hills 15/2 365