Ascot 5:00

Donjuan Triumphant looked a sprinter going places with a couple of very good runs early last year that were group 1 class. He fell away a bit after that but has popped up here on a workable mark at a huge price drawn high and that could be a potent combination today. He also stays a bit further than 6 furlongs which is an advantage in these races around here. Any repeat of his 2nd to Quiet Reflection or Signs of Blessing here and well be counting our money. He is a big price because of 2 underwhelming performances this year but his last run was a big improvement and im hopeful today will have been the plan. 40/1 with 6 places seems just huge.

2 Points EW 40/1 6 places Paddy 33/1 6 places Sky           

I’m also going for another Group 1 Sprinter in Danzeo . He has just dropped too far in mark after a couple of reasonable runs and I’m convinced he wont be far away here. He is drawn in the middle which is a disadvantage but at least he will be able to choose depending on the earlier race. 22/1 looks a bit overpriced.

1 Point EW 22/1 6 places Paddy/Sky


Growl is just too big a price here after a couple of poor enough runs over too far and on soft ground. Today will surly be the day he is 100% and with course and distance group 1 form to his name last year 33/1 is great value.

1 Point EW 33/1 Paddy 4 places 25/1 4 places generally

I’m going with a cliff horse of mine that will do something for me some day Finsbury Square has shown signs of late that he can get involved in one of these at a huge price. I’m hoping the 6 furlongs here will suit him and 80/1 is a big enough price to take the risk.

1 Point ew 8/1 coral/vc/lads


My Dream Boat looks the value in here as a proper group 1 horse in a group 2. There is nothing between a lot of these and the top 2 seems pretty short as they are stayers and might be caught for pace here.18/1 is big

1 Point win 18/1 coral 16/1 Generally. NON RUNNER


Vent de Force will have to come back to form to get involved but if he does he will go close . He is a solid 108 at least on a lot of his previous form and I think he showed enough last time to be of interest here at 20/1.

1 point win 20/1 sky 18/1 generally


Muntazah looks value here judging on a few of his very good group performances last year . The fav is very short on what he has done and is creating a lot of value . 22/1 is just too big .

1 point ew 22/1 paddy /vc


My Dream Boat is now a non-runner, so I’m going to go with a horse I was thinking of anyway. I learned a long while ago to never let a Jim Bolger horse go off too big and Stellar Mass is a  huge price here. He went on a very good run of form last year including a top class run in the Irish derby and comes here with 1 fairly poor prep run resulting in a huge price. He doesn’t have that much to make up on a lot of these and 50/1 is worth the risk even if the place terms here aren’t great.

1 Point ew 50/1 ¼ place 365/coral/lads and more.