Goodwood 1:50

Guard of Honour is a strong stayer with some form over this trip. His run at Ascot is better than it looks at first glance as it was a conditions race against mainly 100 rated horses and he did about as well as could be expected of level weights. This is a much weaker race and he looks sure to be staying on at the finish. 20/1 is value

1 Point EW 20/1 ¼ Place generally

Galway 4:25                           

Buster Dan Dan could well run a big race here. He has been poor enough on the face of it in his 2 runs this year but this is a drop in class and Galway is certainly a front runners track. He is well capable of this mark and has won of higher before. There isn’t the quality of horses in this to be able to haul him back if he gets into a rhythm and at 33/1 he is certainly overpriced. He has run well in this before.

2 Points EW 33/1 5 places Betfair/Paddy/Sky

Galway 7:20

Theophilus has caught the eye a few times lately over trips that are short of his best, arrives here on a career low mark and he has performed  with credit in much better races than this on the big day, including 2 very good runs in the November Handicap of far higher marks. I’d have to think this race would be a nice plan for him and it’s hard to see him out of the 5 here. 25/1 is a fair bit bigger than I expected.

2 Points EW 25/1 5 places paddy/betfair/sky

 

Goodwood 3:35
I’ve been waiting for news of rain this morning and the prognosis is somewhat better than it was yesterday. It will rain but possibly not enough to turn it into a bog. If that’s the case the 28/1 about Lancaster Bomber is just far too big. He was great at Royal Ascot when it’s possible he beat Churchill on merit. Barney Roy isn’t here and I just don’t see enough dangers to have him anywhere near the 7/1 to place he is with 365. On this track I don’t think it’s out of the question he doesn’t get caught at all once the ground has any good in it.
2 Points EW 28/1 365 ¼ Place 28/1 1/5 place paddy/vc/betfair