3:00 Newbury

This looks a particularly weak Hennessy and I’m going to go with the hope that Coneygree wouldn’t be here if he wasn’t well and if he is he could give these a routing. The ground should be fine and his style will be suited to this race. Hopefully he never sees another horse. 18/1 looks far too big to me.

I’m also going to have a tiny saver on Regal Encore at a huge price. He is fairly shorts odds/on to pull up but on the days he doesn’t he is a very decent horse and 100/1 makes it a chance worth taking.

2 Points win 18/1 Coneygree 365/betfair/paddy and others

½ Point EW 100/1 Regal Encore 6 places  betfair 5 places paddy/365

1:50 Newbury

I’ve convinced myself that Old Guard is going to be too good for these in what looks ideal conditions. The step up in trip and decent ground are all in his favour and of the same mark as his very good 3rd in the Greatwood he won’t be far away here. 7/1 is 3 points too big.

2 Points win 7/1 365/hills/vc

1:20 Newbury

Junction Fourteen is on a mark he can certainly win of here if he decided to put in a decent shift. He has plenty of class but often throws the toys out and doesn’t compete. I think there is enough chance of him getting involved here to make his price of 18/1 look decent in this race. We got the winner of this last year with a similar horse.

1 Point EW 18/1 Generally