I think this market is all wrong. Obviously Faugheen wins in a canter if he is fit but none of the other are anywhere near. I actually think that on form this year Jezki is a short price to chase him home. On a line through Coquin Mans there is nothing between Jezki and Melon at all. Ok Melon has more chance to improve but on better ground here I think Jezki is a huge price at 33/1. Hopefully there is still 8 in the field when it kicks of tomorrow. I do have a small worry in my mind that he could be going for the County, but being placed here wouldn’t really affect his mark anyway. I can’t resist a tiny just in case bet on Identity Thief. He was a near top class hurdler that didn’t take to chasing last year. He also has a perfect record fresh of 111. 80/1 is worth a bet
2.5 Points EW Jezki 33/1 Paddy/Betfair/victor 25/1 generally
1 Point EW Identity Thief 80/1 Paddy/Betfair
Jezki w/o Faugheen
Just in case Faugheen is at his imperious best I’m going to top up my Jezki bet with a point w/o fav at up to 18/1 on bet 365
1 Point w/o Fav 18/1 365 16/1 generally
De Name Escapes Me on the face of it looks up against it here. He has been chasing this year without setting the world on fire. I do think he may be suited to this race and he is the choise here or Mark Walsh. This is a gut feeling selection so well take a bit of EW 6 places in paddy and sky
1 Point EW 6 place 33/1paddy/sky 33/1 generally
Ted Veale is a very decent jumper of a fence judging by his last good chase run, and has since got to his highest rating ever on the flat. He has 2 poor runs over hurdles in December but I wonder will be take part here today of a workable mark. He has plenty of top class runs in big handicaps and maybe today will be no different. 33/1 is well worth the risk. I’m also going with Three Stars who has been a touch disappointing since a good novice campaign. This trip will suit him and I expect a bit of improvement today again 33/1 is value.
1 Point EW 33/1 Ted Veale 5 places paddy/Betfair
1 Point EW Three Stars 33/1 5 places Betfair/Paddy
Cant see anything winning this but I like nothing more than picking out a horse with a load of zeros in the form. Doesyourdogbite hasn’t been good this year but of a nice mark with a step up in trip he is bound to come good at some stage. I think its worth a min bet at a huge price .
½ Point win 40/1 generally
This race should suit Bishops Road, and although he was poor enough in the Welsh National I think he will be a lot better here. 11/1 looks value
1 Point win 11/1 generally