Going for one from left field here, Rathpatrick ticks a few boxes here as a horse with some very good form in the past that might just be ready to run a big race in more favourable conditions that he has been getting. He looked the best horse in the race in the Pertempts at Cheltenham a couple of years ago when he went far to wide all the way and finished 6th. I think he will appreciate this ground and trip and has won on this mark before. 50/1 is easily worth the risk.
1 Point EW 50/1 365/paddy/betfair/vc
I said a few weeks ago I dint think there was anything between Monalee and Rathvinden and I’ll be sticking by that here. 16/1 is just far too big and Rathvinden is the most experiences horse here and I think he can run a huge race and maybe get back to Cheltenham with a decent chance. He looks about twice the price he should be.
2 Points win 16/1 generally
Apache Stronghold was one of the first horses on my Cheltenham list this year. He caught my eye in the paddy power when we were on at a big price, when having to make up far too much ground before the straight to have anything left in the tank for the finish. He will be suited by this ground and trip and is down another 3lbs here. 40/1 with 6 places in paddy is madness and worthy of a decent bet.
2 Points EW 40/1 6 places Paddy Power 40/1 5 places elsewhere.
Djakadam has only been beaten by Sizing John lately until his poor run around here last time. With that rival missing here I fancy him to go very close at what looks a good price of 8/1. He looks a couple of points too big here.
1 Point win 8/1 paddy/betfair and others
She’s a Star seems a bit overlooked here. She was excellent in 2 big 2 mile handicap hurdles towards the end of last year, particularly the Bar 1 Grade A at Fairyhouse , where she finished as well as anything after a lot of coaxing. This Mares handicap looks a fair way short of that type of race and although she had a couple of poorer runs over hurdles (possibly went to the well too many times quickly) , after that she was back to winning ways at Dundalk on the flat 3 weeks ago. In this field her toughness will surely bag a place at least if she is one her game at all and it seems that the extra 2 furlong’s might be the right trip for her.. 28/1 seems big for a 16/1 shot.
2 Points EW 28/1 5 places paddy/betfair