After a week of mostly hitting the post or bombing out I’m back with a huge priced one here as a get out of jail card. Sternrubin has a good record in these types of races having been 3rd in this before. He has a few wins on the flat in the last year and started reasonably well over fences. Most of all he has an exceptional record fresh and hasn’t run since November. All this adds up to a huge chance and 50/1 with 6 places seems a massive price.
2 Points EW 6 places paddy / 5 places ¼ 365 and 50/1 generally
I’m also going for Mohaayed at a decent looking price. He ran well in this last year looked good against the Champion Hurdle winner on soft ground on his last run and I’m somewhat surprised he is such a big price here.
1 Point EW 33/1 6 places paddy
Fabulous Saga beat the pertempts winner on heavy ground earlier this year and is about the most experienced horse in this race. He was poor last time out but that is reflected in his price here and if he gets back to form he could well get involved here at a huge price
1 Point EW 33/1 4 places betfair/paddy/hills .
Ive had Unioniste on my mind for this all year, but with the soft ground he has an even better chance. Ive missed the 20/1 this morning so we’ll go win only. His negative is probably the jockey who isn’t in the top 10, but im hopeful that the horse will go from the front and stay there in this ground.
1 Point win 16/1 Generally
We already have a bet at 1 pt EW at 33/1 on Djakadam and as he is one of my bigger opinions of the festival we will go in again at 28/1 with 4 places . His form this year is not a lot different than last year and some of last year placed horses aren’t running this year. 28/1 with 4 places is value again.
1 Point EW 28/1 4 places ¼ 365
This race is an old horses benefit a lot of the time which doesn’t seem to make sense seen as it’s the quickest 2 miles handicap all year. Last year Bright New Dawn ran well but got run out of it at the finish on good ground. He has loads of form on heavy and I think he will be much better suited by it, along with the 6lbs less he has to carry. Thre is a negative in that he has basically not run since November but at 80/1 well take the risk
1 Point EW 80/1 5 places ¼ odds 365 801/ 5 places 1/5 elsewhere