Grand National
Waiting for the bet365 offer has cost me on my main selection. Houblon Des Obeaux was a fair bit better than his 10th place finish last year having finished well to pass lot of horses after getting outpaced. He is unlikely to get outpaced as much here on the soft ground. He has a fair few good runs this year and if he gets around hell be finishing better than anything. Bet365 has 40/1 5 places and 33/1 6 places. I think with him it’s important to get the extra place, especially as the place part is free which essentially means it’s double the odds which makes him 66/1 with 6 places ¼ the odds and that is a cracking bet
2.5 Points EW 33/1 ¼ 6 place Bet365. 5 Points 2.5 returned
Carlingford Lough is my second selection, he is a strong stayer and certainly goes on the ground, has enough class to get involved here at a huge price. He has had a light season but looks to retain a fair bit of ability when close enough in a very strong John Durkan earlier this year over a trip a long way short of his best. The way he runs his races could be well suited to this test and at 50/1 with the bet365 offer which makes him effectively 100/1 he looks great value.
2 Points EW 50/1 5 places 365 offer costing 2 points
Alpha Des Obeaux, has been good this year and has plenty of class for a race like this. He has run well above this mark a few times this year in grade 1s and given that he is over a stone better off with Total Recall for their limerick meeting I think he can get involved here at the price I was looking for. He has had a nice break to prepare for this and usually runs well of a break. 40/1 5 places with 365 is a great price given it’s really 80/1
2 Points EW 40/1 5 places 365 costing 2 points
I’m hard pressed to narrow down for my last selection between as few and I’ve decided to go with my initial selection Saint Are . When I watched a replay of the 2016 national he travelled and jumped well in the soft ground and got tired from being right up with the pace all the time. I think he will be ridden here with far more patience and can see him finishing well at a huge price. Ill also go for the extra place in his case
2 Points EW 50/1 6 Places Bet365 costing 2 points
Clondaw Cian appeals here of a workable mark in soft ground . 22/1 is worth a small win bet .
1 point win 22/1 generally