Fairly easy pick here in a race I hope Douvan wins, Special Tiara was better than ever last year but hasn’t been as good so far this year on soft ground in every run. He will definitely be better today with conditions in his favour. There is enough doubt about the top of the market here to make the 28/1 available about him look very big. I think he goes off at best 16/1 possibly shorter so we’ll take the value now.
1 Point EW 28/1 paddy / betfair 25/1 boyles
We’ve missed the 33/1 but I’m not going to change my mind now. Housesofparliment will certainly appreciate the better ground and back here after a break he could well get involved. His form as a novice reads well for a horse of this mark and should the expected improvement come he won’t be far away. He jumps well enough as well. I’m hoping he goes from the front here.
1 Point ew 25/1 6 places paddy/sky
I’ve been saying all year that there isn’t much between Monalee and Rathvinden and we’ve a bit unlucky with Rathvinden being brought down. I’m not going to change my mind here given on collateral form, his win in the 4 miler could well be better than Monalee’s 2nd in the rsa. He should also be suited by the drop in trip and good ground. 11/1 is too big
1 Point win 11/1 Generally