Samcro’s form simply doesn’t really stand up to any great degree. This first horse he beat to win a race afterwards was Black Ops just about winning a sub-standard Grade 1 at Aintree. No real explanation is needed here as Melon is just too big for what he has done already. The Champion Hurdle could hardly have worked out any better and 10/3 is far too big. I’m going to add in a 1 pt place lay on Samcro as well as it follows that he is far too short. Don’t get me wrong he may well be a very likely winner, its just the odds are wrong by a huge margin on known form
3 Points win Melon 10/3 betfair/paddy and others
1 Point Lay Liability at 1.12 -1.15 Betfair.
Ask Nile, has a fair bit of form that would suggest he is capable of getting involved here at a huge price. He ran better than his finishing position indicates last time out after a break and has a big turnaround in weights with the winner. 33/1 with 5 places looks a bit of value
1 Point EW 33/1 6 place’s Sky 5 places paddy/betfair/boyles and others
Last Minute Selection: Punch 6:40
On The Fringe has been gradually improving and this longer trip on soft ground will suit 16/1 is value
1 Point win 16/1 betfair/Paddy/Exchanges