Desert Encounter looks value here w/o the fav. He is sure to be ridden for a place and tried to give poets word 3lbs this year already and was only 4 lengths behind. He already has form for running above his price in a group 1 and id have him more a 12/1 shot w/o the fav here. 22/1 with hills and 20/1 with 365 is very good value.
2 Points EW w/o fav 22/1 hills 20/1 365 ¼ place 1-2
Tony Curtis sticks out here at a big price. He ran well of higher than this mark last year twice in a light season and 50/1 with 6 places looks very good for a very likely placer here. He has a tough of class and could well improve for his 2 runs this year.
2 Points ew 6 places paddy 50/1 5 places betfair
Drapers Guild looks the better of the 2 last time out when 2nd to Southern France. I think another step up in trip will suit and 33/1 is the price I wanted to get involved in. Southern France is only 5/1 and the difference it just to great.
1 Point EW 33/1 ¼ place 365 33/1 1/5th elsewhere.
Unforgettable Filly looks the clear value here. She ran well in the 1000 Guineas last year and won twice after. She fell away in her last 2 runs last year but if she is back to form there isn’t that much between her and the likes of Urban Fox who is a much shorter price.33/1 is value
1 Point EW 33/1 ¼ place 365 33/1 1/5th generally
Expert Eye is worth taking a chance here at 14/1. He is 3 out of 5 with decent runs and his 2 blowouts have been in group 1s. I wouldn’t be writing him off yet and todays trip should suit him. I’m also taking a small flyer on Madeline, who is a speedy filly and this trip and ground should really suit here. She was poor last time but the race couldn’t have a panned out any worse for her.
1 Point win 14/1 Generally Expert Eye
1 Point EW 80/1 Madeline 5 places Sky 80/1 4 places Generally