I think Road to Respect seems to be in top form this year and id expect him to win. I’m looking in the w/o markets for value here. First of all Coney Islands best form is on decent ground and I’m as sure as I can be that he will run well today after a nice pipe opener over hurdles. 18/1 w/o RTR is very good value with bet365, he is also 14/1 w/o RTR and Bellshill. I’m sure that in form he is better than most of them above him in the market. In addition Anibale Fly has the actual best form on offer here when 3rd in the Cheltenham Gold cup and a repeat of that here would be enough to win as he is sure to be staying on better than anything else. With him I’ll go just go win a win only bet as it’s the best value.
Coney Island 2 Points win 18/1 w/o RTR 16/1 generally
Anibale Fly 1 Point win 14/1 generally
This race will suit Aurora Bell a lot more than his first run back after a very long break. He needs soft and at least this trip. If he is better for that run hell get involved here at a decent looking price.
Plinth has been in better from that his figures indicate lately and if he stays this trip which looks likely to me 40/1 with 6 places is just huge. I think he could have a bit too much pace for most of these and his chances of getting in the 6 are more like 3/1 that the 8/1 we get there. In Addition Satoshi looks to be well in to my eye. He has looked as if a step up in trip will suit and is carrying almost nothing here. Some of his maiden form has worked out a lot better than a 123 rating would suggest.
2 Points EW Plinth 40/1 6 places paddy 5 places elsewhere
2 Points EW Satoshi 25/1 6 places paddy 5 places elsewhere