3:40 Ascot

Actress is one of my horses to follow this year. It was costly for me to be in the air when she won 2 weeks ago but seems to be coming to the boil nicely.   I have to have a small EW bet here just in case.

50/1 4 place 3564 ¼ place 1/5 place generally

5:00

Wisdom Mind seems to be an improving filly. She hasn’t had a great deal of luck in her last 2 runes but is certainly on a workable mark. She seems very likely to place here.

1 Point EW 25/1 6 places paddy/sky

4:20

Mount Moriah is very close to the rest of this field apart from the top 3 here and has very good course form behind the fav . 66/1 is the price I was looking for . We will need 1 of the 3 to run below form but are getting the price for the risk .

1 point ew 66/1 1/4 place 365 1/5th elsewhere

5:00

Petrus looks value here . He has some classy form and ran a nice race behind Without Parole at Sandown . 66/1 with 6 places strikes me as decent value

1 point ew 66/1 6 places lads/boyle/coral/888

Ascot 4:20

Desert Encounter looks value here w/o the fav. He is sure to be ridden for a place and tried to give poets word 3lbs this year already and was only 4 lengths behind. He already has form for running above his price in a group 1 and id have him more a 12/1 shot w/o the fav here. 22/1 with hills and 20/1 with 365 is very good value.

2 Points EW w/o fav 22/1 hills 20/1 365 ¼ place 1-2

Ascot 5:00

Tony Curtis sticks out here at a big price. He ran well of higher than this mark last year twice in a light season and 50/1 with 6 places looks very good for a very likely placer here. He has a tough of class and could well improve for his 2 runs this year.

2 Points ew 6 places paddy 50/1 5 places betfair

3:05

Drapers Guild looks the better of the 2 last time out when 2^nd to Southern France. I think another step up in trip will suit and 33/1 is the price I wanted to get involved in. Southern France is only 5/1 and the difference it just to great.

1 Point EW 33/1 ¼ place 365 33/1 1/5^th elsewhere.

3:40

Unforgettable Filly looks the clear value here. She ran well in the 1000 Guineas last year and won twice after. She fell away in her last 2 runs last year but if she is back to form there isn’t that much between her and the likes of Urban Fox who is a much shorter price.33/1 is value

1 Point EW 33/1 ¼ place 365 33/1 1/5^th generally

5:30

Expert Eye is worth taking a chance here at 14/1. He is 3 out of 5 with decent runs and his 2 blowouts have been in group 1s. I wouldn’t be writing him off yet and todays trip should suit him. I’m also taking a small flyer on Madeline, who is a speedy filly and this trip and ground should really suit here. She was poor last time but the race couldn’t have a panned out any worse for her.

1 Point win 14/1 Generally Expert Eye

1 Point EW 80/1 Madeline 5 places Sky 80/1 4 places Generally

Ascot 2:30

This looks the worst Group 1 Mile race I’ve seen at Royal ascot in a long time. The Fav will probably win but certainly isn’t value here. I’m going to go with Limato , he has course form will love the firm ground and I think has a race like this in him particularly when there is nothing outstanding in it. 18/1 look enticing. If there is to be a shock Zonderland looks well placed to run a big race. He should improve for his first run this season and was improving fast last year. His form on good/firm ground is very good and 40/1 with 4 places is great value.

2 Points win Limato 18/1 fred/tote 16/1 generally

1 Point EW Zonderland 40/1 4 places vc/hills

3:05

No Needs Never looked a very good prospect when 2^nd on his seasonal debut, not give a hard race, and assuming there will be considerable improvement he could well get involved here. 40/1 is easily worth the risk.

1 Point EW 40/1 4 places generally

3:40

Different League is one of my main horse to follow for Ascot and I think she will run a big race here. It looks to me as if the front 2 are a long way clear and Lady Aurelia wins in my view. Ill take a little bit of value here.

1 Point EW 25/1 lads/coral/888/sporting

4:20

US Navy Flag is improving with each run the same as he did last year. Its only my liking for the horse that make me select him above Romanised but the market is mad here, they should be 1^st and 2^nd fav. The best value in the race is easily Threeandfourpence at 50/1, he ran well is the irish 2000 last time when he was the first to chase Us Navy Flag and I think he is more of a 16/1 shot here so we simply have to unload on the 50/1 available.

2 Point win US Navy Flag 6/1 Generally

2 Points EW Threeandfourpence 50/1 ¼ Place 365 50/1 1/5^th place generally

5:00

I’m taking a real flyer here with the outsider of the field Battalion . As a young horse he looked a stayer in the making but has been performing well on the All Weather over 10 furlongs in the last year or 2. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he can get involved here with a quite ride. 100/1 is easily worth the risk.

1 Point EW 100/1 5 places lads/coral/betv

5:35

Muntahaa strikes me as a value bet here. He had a nice run first time out and I think he will be suited by a shorter trip . He also has decent course form. 28/1 seems big for one with little to find on ratings

1 point ew 28/1 4 places paddy/Betfair/vc

1:50 York

Vent de force is turning into a cliff horse this year but has been dropped to a very nice mark after a reasonable run last time  when he ran wide all the way . Trainer has family on board now in the lady riders race . Surly not ! I can’t resist sticking with him at a big price in a weaker race .

2 points ew 33/1 4 places paddy 3 places generally .

2:35 Chantilly

Finche caught my eye last time out behind Cracksman. I think he could be an improving horse and may not be that far behind Cloth of Stars .

2 points win 20/1 generally

4:30 Derby

As Easy a value pick as you’ll see in a race like The Pentagon has an ideal profile for this race, looks to me to be a certainty to be in the first 5 here, will improve for the step up in trip and is never a 50/1 Shot. Hopefully the ground doesn’t get any softer

2.5 Points EW 50/1 365/hills/vc

3:45 Epson

Verne Castle interests me here at a huge price. He is on a great mark on turf compared to his AW mark. He looks to me to be suited by this fast 5 furlongs and 50/1 is value.

1 Point EW 50/1 5 places vc/paddy/betfair

5:50

Holiday Magic ran well in this last year of a 9lbs higher mark. He has been consistent enough and the All Weather this year and has improved in his 2 turf runs since. This could be his best trip. 40/1 looks value

1 Point EW 40/1 Generally

5:15 

Grandee looks a very strong stayer at this type of trip and has some very good form in Ireland of softer ground. He looks very likely to be involved in the business end here at a decent looking 28/1

1 Point EW 28/1 5 places sky/fred/tote/paddy

I also took a little punt at 20/1 on any AOB 123 in the derby it seems too big a price. 1pt 20/1 Betvc

3:10

I’ve been looking at Yucutan all week and set my price at 28/1 or better to get involved EW. He is an unexposed Aidan O’Brien horse, superbly bred for the job. I kind of fancied him for the derby last year and i’m not going to change my mind now that 50/1 is available.

1 Point EW 50/1 paddy/betfair

Ballinrobe 8:00
The form of Baily Moons, win at Limerick last year over 3 miles on good ground has worked out well and if he can get back to form here he’ll stand a decent chance of a workable mark. He has been poor since but has had a couple of runs since a break that might put him right.
1 Point ew 33/1 Generally

Redcar 4:10

Nicholas T is back to his last winning mark & looks like this trip on this ground will suit him. He has been running well in a fair amount of good races and won on his second run last year. His first run in the Victoria Cup sixths year is probably a bit better than it looks at first glance and 7 furlongs is too short , he was also on the wrong side.

1 Point EW 33/1 Generally

Ballinrobe 8:00

Draycott Place seems a bit overpriced here at 14/1 generally. This kind of race is tailor made for him and without any real standouts he might just have a decent chance .

1 Point win 14/1 Generally