Curragh 3:20

I think the market is wrong here with the difference between Al Kazeem and The Grey Gatsby. Al Kazeem doesn’t have to give the fav 7 lbs this year like last and will be better suited to the slightly softer ground than when the met last time. He has also run very well already this year behind Cirrus Des Aigles and looks the value here at 100/30. Postponed doesn’t look to be up to this yet and I don’t know how he is so short.

2 Points win 100/30 Boyles/lads/Betfair

Curragh 3:55        

I think Qualify may be a little underestimated here she has plenty of good form and although she was last in the UK equivalent it was her first run and she never got into it. Her run in the US last year was eye-catching in that she finished really well while being brought all over the track. If she isn’t used as a pacemaker here she might stand better chance than her odds indicate of getting involved. She worth a min bet anyway just in case.

½ Point EW 50/1 4 Places Bet365

Curragh 4:45

I’m afraid the price of Sole Power has gone past the point of lunacy. The fact that he is better at 5 furlongs is probably not in doubt but in fairness he hasn’t run that much at 6 and with his luck required in running in those group 1 sprints with big fields he has done ok. His 4 th in the Betfred Sprint Cup last year was a top class performance and he is possibly the only horse who could have got that close from the position he was in 2 furlongs out. Literally nothing went right and he stayed on as if the trip was certainly no problem. In this small field on decent ground I’m scratching my head at 5/1 especially after a top class performance in Dubai. He doesn’t even need to be at his best to stand a great chance here. Gordon Lord Byron obviously has the form to beat him at this trip but it’s his first run this year.

2 Points win 5/1 Bet365/Totesport/Fred

Haydock 2:00

Suegigo looked a stayer on the up in the Chester Cup and Northumberland place last year and had another few decent runs after of a higher mark than this. He had a reasonable seasonal opener over a trip too short and then disappointed the Chester Cup, but that race is a lottery at the best of times and he never got involved. I think he can show his true form here of this trip and looks a big price at 16/1. I’m also going with and old favourite of mine in Ill De Re who should come on from his first run this year and hasn’t run over this trip enough in the last year or so. There is a few bits of hope in some of those run while he has plummeted in the handicap and I wouldn’t be surprised if there was going to be a step up today. 50/1 looks superb value

1 Point win Suegioo 16/1 Various

1 Point EW 50/1 Ill De Re VC / Ladbrokes/Betfair

Haydock 3:45

Very easy pick here in Jack Dexter. There is nothing between a lot of these and in that case the best value easily is Jack at 18/1. He ran right up to form last time out and with a bit of cut in the ground here he won’t be far away. He generally runs over 6 furlongs but has a couple of very good runs in the Kings Stand to prove his Speed.  He is around a 10/1 shot here really so 18/1 is a bargain.

1 Point win 18/1 VCBET

Goodwood 4:05

Grumeti gave a decent account of himself last time out on the flat over what was probably too short a trip on very fast ground. Today’s trip over 2 Furlongs further and on Good ground will bring him right into the action in what looks a weak enough affair for such a decent pot. He is 4lbs better of with the fav here on their last run and over this trip that indicates to me there won’t be much between them today. There is way too much of a difference in price here so the 12/1 about the selection is value.

1 Point win 12/1 Generally

Haydock 4:20

I thought to myself that’s the boat missed when my selection Gramercy just failed last week at 20/1, but I think he is value again here as the softer ground today will definitely suit him and he is surly on a good mark still.

1 Point win 12/1 Generally

Decent Day yesterday. Gramercy was placed as it looked he might and Toormore & Val de Ferbert were both 2nd. A fair bit of hitting the goalpost but on the right track all the same at the prices

Navan 3:20

I’m going for a small bet for a bit on interest on an otherwise poor enough Sunday. Shipyard was supported last time out and didn’t perform but the slightly better ground here and 5 Furlongs should suit him judging by his very good big field performances at the Curragh last year of higher marks than this. 12/1 with Boyles is just about a big enough price for a bet.

1 Point win 12/1 Boyles 11/1 elsewhere

Nice 9/1 winner for us yesterday with Sea Lord in the W/o market.

4:15 Thirsk

A Fairly straightforward pick here is Gramercy. He ran well last time at Chester on his reappearance travelling well and probably not staying in the soft ground over 7 furlongs. Of this mark he is well capable of taking this race. He should strip fitter here and 20/1 with paddy power is a standout price that won’t last long

1 Point EW 20/1 Paddy Power

3:45 Newbury

I can’t remember a worse 1mile group 1 on decent ground. There isn’t  1 standout horse in this and I can’t have the favourite at the prices. It’s fairly clear that there is nothing between the top 4 in the betting but Toormore looks the definite value here. He won well on his debut last year and I’m pretty sure he’ll be ready for this. There shouldn’t be much in price between him and the fav Night of Thunder on last year’s runs. I’m also going to have a small saver bet on Cougar Mountain simply because he is the choice of the yard to go for this and his first run can be ignored. 25/1 is too big.

1 Point win Toormore 9/1 Various

½ Point win Cougar Mountain 25/1 Various

Newmarket 2:15

Chiberta King has been pretty poor on the AW lately but his turf form around here particularly is very strong and if he can recapture any of that at all he stands a decent chance here at a big price. It’s also possible he needs a bit further but that’s a risk worth taking at 20/1

½ Point Win 20/1 Various

Auteuil 2:08

Willie Mullins has an unbelievable record in these races when he sends them over and my gut feeling is the market has the wrong one from him today. Gitane Du Berlais looks a soft ground horse and  her record around here is decent but not great enough to be very short here, especially on good ground. I do like the look of his other runner Val DE Ferbet who although jumped poor last time out, has some very decent form and has Ruby on board today. 9/1 looks a few points too big

1 Point win 9/1 Generally Val DE Ferbet

Aintree 7:05

Sea Lord looks to have found a very decent opportunity here. He climbed the ladder very fast 2 years ago winning a series of summer good ground handicaps. His run this year in the Scottish County hurdle reads well enough as well as he looks to have been up against a couple of well handicapped horses there. He’s had a break and should be fitter after his last run about 3 weeks ago. The flat track 2m4f here should be right up his street, and 12/1 looks value. That said I think I will avoid the knockout handicap snip in waiting here Virgilio. On his day Sea Lord wouldn’t have anything to fear from the rest of there and 9/1 without the FAV here looks the bet to make.

1 Point win 9/1 Without Fav Betfair Sportsbook

York  5:20

Have to put up a last minute selection here that i forgot to post last night, and just realized it. I think Icon Dream could wel improve from his seasonal reappearance and has some decent form on good ground. He is of a workable mark and ill have to have a small min gamble at a huge 66/1

1/2 Point EW 66/1 Various

York 2:10

Indy looks one of the most unexposed in this field and there was plenty to like about his seasonal reappearance until he ran out of steam which is probably understandable. His 3yo form is also very good and if he can move on from his seasonal debut here when a bit fitter he can get involved at a big looking 20/1. I’m also going to have a tiny bet at a huge price on Sir Jack Layden . He was a very good 2yo and perhaps suffered for his Meyden trip as a 3yo. He can also improve for his seasonal reappearance here at a big price.

1 Point win Indy  20/1 Various

½ Point win Sir Jack Layden 50/1 Various

York 2:40

Blaine has an excellent course record to say the least with 3 wins around here. He was poor last time but that can be ignored with sprinting as poor runs are regular in these races. A mark of 100 in well within his grasp judging by his runs last year and 25/1 with 5 places looks huge.

1 Point EW 25/1 5 Places Paddy Power

York 3:15

Caspar Netscher has been running well the last year or so at the highest level and on his day is well capable of winning this race. The race terms aren’t the best for him but he looks a good few points too big at 25/1. Also I think Gathering Power may be an improver this year judging by what I saw last year and on her reappearance.  I don’t think the ground will be in her favour here but at 33/1 ill have a min bet just in case as she was my original selection and changing minds leads to frustration.

1 Point win  Caspar Netscher 25/1 Various

½ Point win Gathering Power  33/1 VArious

Killarney 8:10

Sebadee is one that did me a few favours in the past. He is underestimated here and this trip ground and course are all in his favour. He travelled well in the big Hunter Chase at Punchestown before fading late over too far. He has a good record around here at 25/1 is too big.

1 Point EW 25/1 Bet365

Leopardstown 3:40

I think there is a bit of underestimating here in the AOB second String Cradle Mountain. Order of St George is the first string but he hasn’t run yet this year which is a complete no no for that stable. Cradle Mountain beat what looks a good yardstick last time out and although he will lose the 7lbs claim on in this race he is no 20/1 shot.

1 Point win 20/1 Various

3:45 Ascot

I love these big field Ascot Handicaps, and this looks like a typical minefield tomorrow. A couple stick out for me at big prices. Professor is certainly capable of this mark judging by his run last year in the Wokingham of a higher mark. He came back to form last time out when second to Emell and is still 6 lbs lower than that Wokingham run. I thought he would be shorter here that 25/1 so that looks value. Hawkeyethenoo also caught the eye a bit in the same race and he is in here of a very low mark with a 7lbs claimer on. I think he will out run his 40/1 odds.

1 Point EW Professor 25/1 5 places Various

1 Point EW Hawkeyethenoo  40/1 5 places Various

Haydock 1:45

I’ve convinced myself that Pearl Swan could well get back to form in this race. I selected him at the Festival and he ran a great race at a huge price, but was poor at Aintree after. I’m hopeful that the step up in trip will suit and I’m fairly sure that Paul Nichols would have put him away for the season if he didn’t feel there was a better performance in him.

1 Point win 9/1 Various

Haydock 2:00

Rebellious Guest has been in good form on the all-weather lately and if he can stay this trip , which has looked likely on a  few occasions ,he might outrun his big price here. His 3^rd in the Roseberry when staying on over 11 furlongs give him a decent shout here if he can transfer that to turf. He’s worth the risk at a big looking 25/1 from a trainer who likes to have winners here.

1 Point win 25/1 Various

Lingfield 3:30

Burano was backed last time and although he didn’t finish out his race that well, he is just back down to his winning turf mark and I would be at all surprised if he showed up well here. The slightly softer ground should help. This race looks a weak enough affair.

1 Point win 16/1 Bet365/Sporting/Coral