4:05 York..

no explanation needed hopefully it doesn’t rain. This is a stronger contest but 20\1 looks ok

1 point win 20\1 ladbrokes

Newmarket 5:00

Stone of Folca looks value in his prefered fast ground and also fresh.

1 point win 16\1 various

Sandown 2:05

Kingsgate Native has all the advantages here. On his day he is only beaten in these conditions by top class horses like Sole Power and Hot Streak. His 2^nd in the Palace House was proof that he still operates near the top of his form and I can’t see the 7/1 at all. He is of course able to throw in plenty of howlers but I think the way he is being trained this year with very few runs could the key.

2 Points win 7/1 BetVictor

Sandown 3:50

I think the Fugue is too short here, and as I don’t really fancy the next 2 in the betting at all Kingston Hill or Night of Thunder, the value here lies with Verrazano War Command and Mukhadram. My gut feeling in that Mukhadram is the most undervalued of these and he may well be extremely difficult to knock out of the first 3 here making his odds of 16/1 looks the best value of the lot. He is near top class over this trip and if the Fugue isn’t at her best he may well be the most likely to capitalize.

1 Point EW 16/1 EW

Haydock 3:30

Open Eagle sticks out for me here of a workable mark judging by his good 3^rd in the November Handicap at the end of last year off a 4lbs higher mark. He is more than likely been readied for this race and the fact the its turned up similar soft ground has to be an advantage. There looks to be a lot of Horses with no chance in this and he may well have a great chance of placing at least. 20/1 looks value with bet365

1 Point EW 20/1 EW Bet365

3:50 Newcastle Saturday

I picked Waterclock in the Ascot Stakes and he travelled well most of the way before running out of steam and getting into trouble a couple of furlongs out. He was then eased off but I feel that this trip here will be more in his line and he may well be about to get back into form. His 2^nd in the Cesarewitch last year still read really well in the context of this race and the fact he is only 2lbs higher. 50/1 looks great value. I’m also going to have a small saver on Buthelezi as he is on a decent mark and could well be a stayer on the flat judging by his decent NH form.

1 Point EW 50/1 Waterclock Various

½ Point win 44 Betfair Buthelezi

Newcastle 7:45

2pts win Doc Hay 11/1 Ladbrokes

He looks ready to strike

4:50 Worcester

My Favourite horse Barizan is running today and although he is probably too high in mark and over a trip a bit longer than ideal, he is at least a stone better on this ground than his excellent 2^nd in a much better race last month. That performance on soft was about as good as he has run for a long time, and if he is still in form which isn’t a given, he can get involved here with 8lbs more.

2 Points win 11/1 Betbright and Betfair

Ascot 3:05

Longer Distance handicap’s aren’t really by bag at all, but one thing about Ascot is Course Form is everything and in an effort to find something interesting here at a decent price I came across Eshtiaal. He was an excellent fast finishes 3^rd in an identical race to this over this course and distance last year , and although he hasn’t shown anything since in 2 runs, you’d have to think today would have been the plan. His reappearance was on soft ground and todays conditions will be far more in his favour. He is on the same mark as that good run last year ,and 33/1 looks a very decent margin on his chances here.

1 Point EW 33/1 Various

Ascot 4:25

Medicean Man is in the form of his life this year and that can be dangerous to ignore with sprinters. He was exceptional this year in Meydan and carried that forward to a career best 4^th on Tuesday in the Kings Stand. I think that race is a big step up from this one and 25/1 is a bit of an insult. He also has plenty of very good course form. He has also run well when turned around quickly in the past and that’s too may positives to ignore

1 Point EW 25/1 Various

Ascot 5:00

I get the feeling the Racy is on the way back to some form and ran well last time out on probably unsuitable soft ground in a very good race. He has excellent Ascot Good-Firm form 2^nd behind Masamah last year and although he is inconsistent he is a big enough price to make the risk worth taking at 50/1. Zero Money is similar in that he has good form at the course and seeing that I cant take my eyes of the eye watering 125/1, I’ll have to have a punt on that as well. It does take some creative thinking to give him even a tiny chance but the course form and decent draw give him that.

1 Point EW Racy 50/1 5Places 365/Coral

1 Point EW Zero Money 125/1 5 Places 365/VC/Coral

Ascot 3:45

This is a strange race with questions about everything so in looking for a value angle, I’m going again with course form. Ektihaam sluiced up in a C&d race last year on the same ground and although he has done literally nothing since, in this field I’m hoping for a return to form which will put him right here with a decent chance. He was poor on his reappearance but should be fitter today and 16/1 looks worth chancing.

1 Point win 16/1 Various