Wincanton 2:40

I don’t need a lot of encouragement to go for a 3 figure price. Gallic Destiny was a decent flat horse and probably went to high in handicap mark before a few bad runs and a long time of the track. He ran with a tiny bit of promise on his first run back and if he improved it’s not totally out of the question he can get involved of this mark. 100/1 makes with worthwhile especially with the extra places on offer in most bookies.

1 Point EW 100/1 4 places Paddy/Betfair 80/1 4 places elsewhere

3:25 Sandown

Eragon De Chanay looks a bit overpriced here given his course record. He is 2-3 here and is a decent price because of a poor run here last time out. Ill forgive him that run for the 10/1 in this race.

1 Point win 10/1 Generally

Cork 1:55

This looks a step down in class for Jett, along with going back over hurdles a stone lower than his chase mark. Surly he has to go close here and 14/1 is very big.

2 Points win 14/1lads/vc/coral/boyles

Cheltenham 2:00

Foxtail Hill certainly looks the value in this race . He never got prominent last time but is below his last winning mark . He could easily recover form here at a decent price .

1 point win 14/1 generally

Gone for a few days, but

Leop 2:30 Saturday

Petit Mouchoir is one of my few horses for the season to follow. On Hurdles form he is maybe 2nd best here behind Melon. If he is anywhere near right 33/1 is going to look huge.

1 Point win 33/1 Boyles 28/1 365/sky/vc

3:00 Leopardstown

I think Road to Respect seems to be in top form this year and id expect him to win. I’m looking in the w/o markets for value here. First of all Coney Islands best form is on decent ground and I’m as sure as I can be that he will run well today after a nice pipe opener over hurdles. 18/1 w/o RTR is very good value with bet365, he is also 14/1 w/o RTR and Bellshill. I’m sure that in form he is better than most of them above him in the market. In addition Anibale Fly has the actual best form on offer here when 3^rd in the Cheltenham Gold cup and a repeat of that here would be enough to win as he is sure to be staying on better than anything else. With him I’ll go just go win a win only bet as it’s the best value.

Coney Island 2 Points win 18/1 w/o RTR 16/1 generally

Anibale Fly 1 Point win 14/1 generally

3:00 leop

Arkwrisht is going to win one of these and was running well last time until a mistake in a similar race . 33/1 is value we’re sure to get a good run for our money .

2 points ew 6 places 33/1 Boyle . 6 places 365 30/1

Scoir Mear has been a frustrating horse for many, but i think he might be value now. The step up in trip will suit and he is of a nice low weight here. Im sure he’ll be involved in the finish and 28/1 with 7 places if value.

1 Point EW 7 places 28/1 paddy

2:50 Welsh National

Holly Bush Henry is a young horse in form that loves soft ground and looked last time as if a further step up in trip would suit. I think he is a big price here and is very consistent of around this mark in good races.

1 Pt EW 33/1 7 places sky 6 places others

We’ve already put this up a couple of weeks ago and the price is looking fairly attractive now, but the race has turned out much stronger that i would have envisaged at the time

 

King George Ante-post

Thistlecrack caught the eye hugely yesterday in terms of the King George. I think he ran a remarkable race when he clearly didn’t jump as well as he could (possibly due to the fences), but stayed on really strongly at the end under a possibly tender enough ride. He will surely improve for that and no matter what way I look at it he looks a very likely winner of the King George. Might Bite should be his main treat but he was really poor yesterday. Unless it’s soft the race should be too quick for Native River and nothing else stands a chance unless Bristol De Mai can show up here as well as Haydock. Ill happily back the 16/1 available in Paddy Power every time I pass a shop between this and the race. In Fact any of the General 12/1 available will do for me.

3 Points win 16/1 Paddy Power / Betfair 12/1 generally.

Wincanton 2:35

Dicosimo ran well last time in a much better race than this, after being too free early one. Some of his past form is easily good enough here and i fancy him to never see another horse. 16/1 is certainly value

1 Point win 16/1 hill/vc 14/1 gen

1:20 Kempton

@sevenbarrows doesn’t have too many 122 rated horses like Turtle Wars and I wondered why. His first race over jumps was a shambles and i think with a normal passage here that rating could be made to look silly.

2 Points win Turtle wars  7/1 Generally

Saturday TV Longshot EW Lucky 15

1:50 Rock on Rocky 25/1 (Course Form)
2:25 West Approach 40/1 (Sure Stayer)
3:00 Flying Angel 20/1 (Gut Feeling)
3:35 Mohaayed 20/1 (class Edge)

I did it with Paddy with extra places last 2 races. Total Spend 6 Points

 

2:40 Haydock

Splash of Ginge looks to have his conditions here and this doesn’t looks the strongest renewal. He can run his race of this mark and 14/1 looks value

1 Point win 14/1 Generally

1:55

I think the conditions might bring Splash of Ginge into this at a huge price . He’s an in an out performer that we’ve got right before . My original selection for this all week has been pricewised unfortunately so no value .

1 point ew 6 places 33/1

3:05

Old Guard just looks too big for this race . There is nothing between any of them and 11/1 is certainly value . He won’t shy away from this like a few of them might .

1 point win 11/1 10/1 generally

 

3:00 @NewburyRacing

If 20/1 was value when we weren’t sure of the ground or what the field would be like , 12/1 is certainly value now with only 13 runners in the weakest Hennessy ever. Nice Soft Ground and in my view last years novices aren’t up to scratch. #topup

1 Point win 12/1 American

 

Bottlers Lucky 15
These are the horses I looked at for value this morning, but just didn’t put them up. I’ll spend a total of 3 Point’s on an EW Lucky 15 Just in case
All New
1:20 Minella on Line 33/1
1:50 Big Chief Benny 40/1
3:00 West Approach 40/1
3:35 Dicosimo 66/1

 

I’m going to have a small win bet here on American, as i think he looks the most likely winner and just isn’t going to go of anywhere near 20/1. His run at Cheltenham last year would be enough to be close here.

1 Point win 20/1 365/vc/unibet/188/888