This looks a tough race but I always facied the Noble Citizen might do well over 8 furlings, and is always like to back him when he is a big price. He has been reasonable this year, but had a few runs last year on decent ground that could put him in with a small chance. 55 seems a big price on betfair and I’ll have to have a min bet.
½ Point win Betfair 50
Brea Hill is one I’ve selected a fair few times in the past with a decent degree of success, and ill basically back him any time he is overpriced. His run last rime was poorer than normal but he did try to go around the field which was never going to work. He has form over this trip on good ground and 20 on betfair looks value. He has a good 5lbs claimer on today and that should help with his top weight.
1 Point win 20 Betfair
I fancy Stone Of Folca here for fairly obvious reasons. He is a pure 5f speedster and this race should suit in a similar vein to the Dash last year. He needs the good-firm ground and has an exceptional record fresh. It looks as if the stable have been waiting for him to come to hand for his seasonal debut and although 12/1 is a bit less than I hoped for he is still worth a 1 pt bet at those odds. I’m also going for an old friend of mine in Confessional who has some exceptional form last year. He ran a decent race in the dash but on his day is well capable of winning this of this mark. 20/1 looks great value for a horse of this quality.
1 Point win Stone Of Folca 12/1
1 Point EW 20/1 Confessional
Medici Time, is one that did me a huge favour last year at a big price and he’s sure to pop up at some stage this year so ill back him at big odds a few times until hopefully he decides to put in full effort. He is down to a winnable mark here and although he has shown precious little this year, he has come back from poor runs a few times in the past so I won’t let that stop me having a a bet at 48 on Betfair in case today is the day.
½ Point win 48 Betfair