Newbury 1:20

Tatanan, is an old friend of mine who has come up for me on a couple of occasions for decent bets, and I feel he is being underestimated here. He has been poor in his last few runs, but they have all been over too far and his record over this sort of trip is actually very decent. Only 12 months ago he was a very decent 6th in a much tougher race than this at Cheltenham and I think he has been dropped too far on a mark of 128. He is still only 9 and should have a very good runs in him yet. 33/1 is way too big

1 Point EW 33/1 Corals Paddy Power

In this race I’m also going for another horse at a decent price in Hector’s Choice, the decent ground here will be in his favour compared to the soft last time and has usually improved for a run. He is a strong traveller on his day and has been given a decent chance here by the handicapper. He’s worth a shot at 20/1

1 Point win 20/1 Various

NewBury 1:50

Vendor has been a disappointing horse after his good 3rd of only 1 lb lower than his current mark at the festival. But he was in the process of running well when supported at Sandown last year on decent ground, when being brought down, and that fall may have affected him on his next run. He is back here on his first run of the season on decent ground and I think he may well get back some of the potential that he showed. I wouldn’t be surprised if he was supported for this tomorrow and 25/1 looks value.

1 Point EW 25/1 Various

Newcastle 2:05

Grumeti looks underestimated here at 12/1 with bet365 and a few others. He is a consistent horse with very good 4yo form for 18 months ago. He’s has a few very good runs on the flat and a decent 4th under a big weight in the Scottish Champion Hurdle last year. To me he is odds/on to get placed at least here and 12/1 with bet365’s ¼ odds is worthy of a decent bet.

2 Points EW 12/1 Bet365 ¼ Odds

Fairyhouse 2:30

Flat Out Is finally back on the racecourse after nearly 3 years off. He was in the process it appeared of winning a Grade 1 Novice Chase last time we saw him until he fell travelling well only 2 out and when I saw him here before I looked at the prices I was expecting a very short price. I must be losing it but 7/1 seems very generous in this race of a mark of 139, with only 11 stone on his back. He was in the top level of novice hurdlers before he tacked fences and although he has been of a long time Willie Mullins is surly capable of getting him ready for his first run.

2 Points win 7/1 Various

Hennessy Gold Cup

I’ve looked at this a few times this week and basically ruled everything out. Nothing at all sticks out for me as a potential huge improver. At the current prices the only one that interests me at all in Imperial Commander now available at 25/1. He is 9lbs better off for his very good reappearance after a long layoff at Cheltenham last year on what was probably unsuitable heavy ground. I think he’ll be better here on decent ground and he has drifted to a price now that looks enticing.

1 Point EW 25/1 365 5 places