3:45 Newcastle

One look at Swynmor’s run at Galway last year of 4 lbs higher than this, will make his current price of 28/1 seem a tad generous. He was poor since in 2 runs but has surly been readied for this after a long break and a pipe opener a few weeks ago. I’d imagine they might think he has a bit in hand off this mark.

2 Points EW 28/1 5 places Sky/Ladbrokes/Paddypower

 

3:10 Newcastle

Apostle is a horse I expect to come to life soon enough, and I’d like to get in while the price is decent. He was good towards the end of last year and if he can get back to that form he will be competitive of this mark as he has been before. 25/1 looks worth a small gamble that today is the day he starts to improve

1 Point EW 25/1 Generally

Irish Derby 6:30

I’ve changed my mind here in that although I prefer Highland Reel to put it up to the favourite, at the prices Giovanni Canaletto is way too big at 12/1. On a re-watch of the Epson Derby he finished a lot better than I remembered and took too long to get going. That would signify that he will be more suited by the Curragh and 12/1 looks a huge price

1 Point win 12/1 Sporting/Betfair/Hills