This Saturday has always been near the worst of the year but there is still some passable racing on and I’ve a few cliff horses running today that I’ll be following just in case. The less said about last nights near last place double the better and lesson learned about picking in poor races.
This is easily the best race on this poor card today and I’m going to shamelessly go for a cliff horse of mine this year in Hawkeyethenoo. He has a fair few negatives today in that its possibly over too short a trip and good ground over 5f won’t be in his favour. He just looks ready to win to me and when I looked yesterday I said to myself if he goes to 20/1 ill have stab just in case. His last run was over 7 here and it was probably a step too far on soft ground. If this race was over 6 around here id be losing my mind with a bet but instead ill have a 1 point win bet to avoid and fist through tv moments just in case.
1 Point win 20/1 VC/Stan/Coral
I also like Boom the Groom in this race, he ran an eye-catching race at Epson and again last time out. He will need things to go his way but the smaller field here will help him slice through the pack and at 12/1 he is value.
1 Point win 12/1 Coral
Tamayuz Star looks to have gone off the boil in his last 2 runs but he has always been a better horse over 7 furlongs and I wonder is this step up in trip a sign that he may be about to get competitive. He has a good 3lbs claimer on and is off a very low mark given his best form. This doesn’t look the best Saturday sprint and 33/1 looks value
1 Point win 33/1 Generally
I’m probably not the only one that has been wondering when will Secret Witness win off his low mark, but I’ve avoided him for the most part as he doesn’t look too bothered. However he has done a job for me before when raced very soon after another run and with that in mind ill have a small bet now. He has a very good record racing as little as 1 day after a run and at 22/1 today might the value day for him to capitalise.
1 Point win 22/1 Skybet
I noticed a little bit of hope for improvement in What About Carlo’s last race. He took a while to get going but eventually consented near the finish. I get the feeling there won’t be too long a wait until hew puts it in and can get competitive of this mark. This looks a pretty weak race and the 14/1 on offer with coral is a decent bet
1 Point win 14/1 Coral