Ripon Great St Wilfred 3:30
We have waited a long time to get a suitable race for Hawkeyethenoo since his very good run in the Victoria Cup earlier this year when he was 3rd and we were on at 40/1 EW. He has run twice over 5 furlongs since which is too short and he didn’t stay the 7 furlongs on soft in the International. Although there is a chance that the moment has passed as he had looked in rude health back then, I still feel he is ready to run a big race. He has a very good 7lbs claimer on tomorrow which will have him carrying the lowest weight of all runners here. Any small amount of rain won’t hurt his chances at all and the current 25/1 with some bookies is well worth a bet.
The other one I’m going for in this is Tatlisu. He looked a sprinter on the up at the end of last year but after his win at the start of this year he has been very up and down. He has been running to his mark all the same and with proven ability on soft ground and around here being 3rd in this last year this could well be his ideal race. He is drawn 7 so is the other side from my main selection . 16/1 is bigger than I expected
1 Point win 16/1 Tatlisu 888/Stan
2 Points EW 25/1 Hawkeyethenoo Boyles/888/32
I’m going to go with one from each side here. Fast Shot ticks a fair few boxes for this race. He is down to a good mark, has course form and is probably better with cut in the ground. His best runs this year have been here and if he can improve in this race he will get competitive of this mark. Rex Imperator has been poor this year but his day is sure to come, and I think the soft ground 6 furlongs could be just right for him. He won 2 starts ago but never got into his next race, and up until then had looked to be improving slowly.
Now that Rex is a non-runner I’m going to go with another horse on that side with decent soft ground form. Gramercy has always been better with cut in the ground and hasn’t had much of a chance this year to show that. This race has cut up a fair bit and its far more likely that the gaps required will come now that with a full field. He will be staying on here and at 25/1 he looks value.
1 Point win 22/1 Coral Fast Shot
1 Point win 16/1 Sky Rex Imperator NON-Runner
1 Point win 25/1 Gramercy Sporting/VC/Hills
There is a couple of big outsiders that I have an inkling are overpriced here. Field of Dream is a bit dangerous in that he probably has other targets but I thought he looked a lot better last time than his other runs this year and of this mark he’s worth a small bet at a huge price. The other one is Majestic Myles, he has a very good record fresh and is down to a workable mark. He does have a fairly inexperienced 7lbs claimer on today but she does have a decent strike rate and if he was to be ready today hell have a very good shot at a huge price.
1 Point win 40/1 Field of Dream Sky 888
1 Point win Majestic Myles 33/1 Generally
Mubtaghaa looked to be travelling really well in the Stewards Sprint at Goodwood and just couldn’t get any kind of run until too late. If he can get a run here in a weaker race he will be ring there with a chance. 12/1 is a bigger price than I expected
1 Point win 12/1 Various
I had a look at this race last night and felt the 3yo’s were overpriced. Of the 2 Markaz looks to be the most suited to the conditions and he looks the stronger stayer of the 2. He also looks to be steadily improving and although the fav looks the most likely winner he doesn’t look particularly value. Markaz looks more of a 10/1 shot than his current 14/1
1 Point win 14/1 Markaz