Newbury 6:10

I’m up too early so having a look around for a bit of value the only decent racing today is in Newbury. I’m drawn to this nursery with something I always like in soft ground a very low weight. November had been progressing nicely until his last run over 6 furlongs when he raced far too freely and didn’t stay. He has caught the eye particularly in a decent Sandown maiden on his second run. His mark of 68 looks a bit generous even if the form of that maiden hasn’t exactly worked out apart from the winner who was 2nd in a big nursery at York last week of a mark of 79. The selection is carrying almost a stone less than anything else with Cam Hardie’s 3 lbs.’ claim and on soft ground that should be vital. He is also back over 5 furlongs which should suit. The 14/1 on Betifar sportsbook looks far too big and id be happy with anything above 8/1 so that margin is a bit too big to miss.

2 Points win 14/1 Betfair Sportsbook 12/1 elsewhere