Oasis Fantasy has been tipped up and backed by every man and his dog over the last 6 months without cashing in. He is in here today with what looks a decent chance on form and the step back in trip might just suit him judging by his last 2 runs. For the first time in a while he is a decent price and this race doesn’t look to be as strong as some of the earlier season ones. I’m going to buck the trend and select him when no-one else will be. 14/1 might just be value in this race.
1 Point win 14/1 Generally 365/vc/hills and others
Was backed into 8/1 and traveled well but had nothing in the finish for another disappointing run
David Livingstone was a horse with a lot of potential with AOB in Ireland and although he was disappointing last time out my gut is he will be a lot better here today. He is down to a nice mark and this race doesn’t look to have a lot of standouts. 11/1 might look decent value come the off.
1 Point win 11/1 Generally 12/1 with 888/32 if you can get on there
Ran well to be 3rd and probably not really suited by the softer than anticipated going, but this horse will be winning a big handicap next year
There are few in this who will be minding their marks for March id imagine and it looks a very tight race. I’m afraid pricewise may have got the best value here with Turn Over Sivola at 14/1 but I wouldn’t be as interested in him at the 8/1 now. I’m drawn to Dunraven Storm who has won around here and although he was disappointing last year after 2 very good wins early in the season he may well be ready to race to day after a disappointing run first time out this year of ground probably too fast for him. I’ll have a small bet at 12/1 here
1 Point win 12/1 Generally
Another good performance in 3rd and he made the anticipated improvement over his seasonal reappearance
I’ve ended up here eliminating every horse in the field, so I’ve gone for a bit of youth and a horse with a bit of upward curve left in him yet. Whats Happening won well here at the end of last year but looks on a still workable mark judging by some of his novice form. He looks to have landed in a good opportunity here at a half decent price of 12/1. Champion Court could be the main danger as he is in rude health at the moment.
1 Point win 12/1 Generally
Looked to be travelling well all the way and although he looked to be in trouble coming to the last he absolutely flew at the finish to pass everything. Very good course winner now and one to be watching for the festival as liking the stiff finish is a big plus.
Nothing has really stood out here in what is normally my type of race but I’ll have a few big price darts as that’s end of the market is where the value is here. Cordial has one piece of form on soft ground in Ireland that would put her in with a shot here at a huge price. The ground will have a bit of ease in it today and for her first run in a handicap in a while 66/1 looks a small gamble worth taking. In addition Kimberella will probably pop up again of this mark at some stage and there was a bit to like about his last run. He can be competitive in these types of races if everything goes his way and 28/1 looks value.
½ Point win Cordial 66/1 Generally
1 Point win Kimberella 28/1 Generally
Cordial actually caught the eye a bit after a slow start and Kimberella ran well without getting near the front. I think there is a race in both shortly.