I’ll be keeping the bets to small ones due to the rubbish racing and very poor ground tomorrow.
Dell Arca has some very decent heavy ground form, not least second in the Betfair Hurdle albeit of a lower mark. He has shown though that this mark is within his compass and the way this race has broken up I think 16/1 is value.
1 Point win 16/1 365/sky/boyes/vc
Backed into 10/1 but poor in the finish
Grandad’s Horse has a couple of decent wins in similar races on soft ground last year of around this mark and although he was poor enough on his only run this year he caught the eye a small bit for me until a mistake 2 out. This race is filled with question mark horses and 12/1 here might be a bit of value.
1 Point win 12/1 Generally
Backed into 8/1 but never looked likely from 4 out
Jumps Road can be a frustrating horse but he has a couple of wins on heavy ground of around todays mark. The top weight here is also interesting here as he looks on a decent mark but I’ll go with 9/1 about Jumps Road in what looks a weak race. The stable is in cracking form so hopefully that will rub off on him
1 Point win 9/1 vc/hills/betway
I’m afraid another poor selection here, struggled most of the way
This is a total lottery as to whether any horse can cope with these conditions tomorrow. Still god loves a trier. Some of Return Springs form reads very well for a horse of a mark of 132. He caught the eye on his seasonal reappearance at Cheltenham and I think he is a few pounds well in here. He has won on soft as well as heavy ground and has a nice low racing weight which will be needed here. 18/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair exchange looks a bit of value and he is unexposed in this type of race.
I think it’s going to be very difficult to knock Firebird Flyer out of the 5 places here at a big looking 28/1 in a couple of places. He looked good behind Tour des Champs around here last time out of the same mark. He is proven on the ground and this slog should suit him better than most.
1 Point win Return Spring 18/1 Paddy/VC/ Betfair
1 Point EW 28/1 5 places Paddy/Coral
Return Spring was miles back after a poor jump on the first circuit, but as i said it was difficult to knock Firebird Flyer out of the places and he was a good fast finishing second here to keep us even for the day.