This race has one of my big fancies for the festival in Sgt Reckless. I had been thinking he will show up here in a hurdle for a while now. I’m not sure what I think about him running this compared to my initial thought that he would run in the county, but he has always looked like a few extra furlongs would be no harm.
My main reason for fancying him so strongly is he is a tie in with the best formline I’ve seen in Vautour’s Supreme in which he was a fast finishing 4th,, ahead of last years plunge horse for us Wicklow Brave. That race was full of top class horses and could not have worked out any better. He will love the good ground and will be flying up the hill which makes his place chance very good for a 50/1 shot.
The minute I saw him entered in a big handicap hurdle a few months ago on bad ground where he struggled I had a race here in mind on good ground, and figured he would be readied for it. He has some other top class form including a good run last year in the Arkle. I feel they must think he is well in on hurdles mark as he would surly have a decent chance in one of the Handicap Chases here this week as well.
2 Points EW 40/1 5 Places
Never got into the race at all and a huge dissapointment
I think More of That is actually value here even at his current price but I’m keen on Shaneshill in the w/o market here. He will love the ground and has a great record around here. He was poor last time out but ill forgive him that run and put my trust in the team that he will stay the trip here. 11/1 w/o More of That is a very decent price and certainly value.
1 Point win w/o more of that 11/1 Ladbrokes & Hills 10/1 Paddy 365
It looked like we were winning this jumping that last but he got passed and in farines came close to getting back up again. Still a good 2nd
Balthazar King has a superb record fresh and a steller course record. He does need to have recovered from a bad fall at aintree last year but I don’t think they would be sending him here if he wasn’t recovered. The Level weights here this year really is a big advantage for him and I think he should be favorite. 6/1 is great value.
2 Points win 6/1 Generally
Another faller to add to the collection.
Champion Chase 6/03
I’ve been looking at this horse now for a while wondering what he may do at the Cheltenham festival and it appears that he may go for the Champion Chase. Just Cameron was hugely impressive against Un Des Seaux at punchestown last spring when 2nd but it was his run style that really interested me. He stuck close to him most of the way and when other horses came to get near and were beaten back by UDS he actually ran on really well to finish as close as anything has done to him. I think that was an underestimated run in the light of UDS’s performances this year which have more or less put any doubts to bed. That was on good ground and hopefully it will be the same this time. I think he was also impressive enough last time out in a handicap of a mark of 148 when failing to give 2 stone to a pretty significant blot.
He undoubtedly has 10-15 pounds to find to get involved at all here but I think the race may be run to suit and if he tries what he did at Punchestown he may well be able to hang on for dear life as good as anything else.
I don’t need a lot of excuses to go for a horse at 100/1 and he only needs a tiny chance of getting involved for this price to be too big. It’s somewhat tempting to go for the 50/1 w/o and I’m torn between the 2, and either is value. But that said there is nothing nicer than a 3 figure price.
1 Point EW 100/1 Generally and .5 Point win generally 50/1 w/o UDS
This horse rand well to finish 6th but just didnt have the pace to go with the top 3 here. Still he was not 100/1 shot.
I was very taken with Sprinter Sacre’s last run just as proof he should be over that heart problem as he showed no signs of that there. My gut is UDS has a lot to prove and hasn’t beaten anything really yet. That isn’t to say he won’t but I’m not sure it a given that he will. Even if he wins today I think Sprinter will be much better suited to the decent ground more than likely in March and 4/1 looks a very decent price NRNB. In my mind even if UDS wins easily today 4/1 would be about the right price in that situation, but if UDS doesn’t Sprinter will probably be favourite and feck it I’m banging on about him enough to be happy with 4/1 now.
2 Points win 4/1 NRNB Paddy Power/Hills/Betfair
Im not sure what to say here. I was so confident when i put this bet up , but had lost confidence as the race approched. He was fantastic and won well.