Sirius Prospect was never going to stay a mile in the terrible ground last time out. This will be much more up his street and he has been given a chance by the handicapper. He has been running well on the AW this year and if he can translate that here over his best trip he will run a lot better here. 33/1 is easily worth the risk. I also like a small bet on Highland Colori. He wasn’t great on his first run this year but his record suggests he will be a lot better on his second run. He was 3rd in this last year off a higher mark and 20/1 is also value
1 Point win Sirius Prospect 33/1 Generally
1 Point win Highland Colori 20/1 365/vc/sj/coral
Mirza is well capable of a big run at times and worth it at a huge price in case everything falls his way today. He has been in poor enough form this year but in these races is all about form on the one big day and with slightly rain softened ground he just might have a chance here at a massive 50/1. Spirit Quartz is another that had a few eye-catching runs last year and back with his old stable here he could have a small shout having run well in this twice before. Well go with small win bets on bot at massive prices.
½ Point win Mirza 50/1 VC/sj/Betfair
½ Point win Spirit Quartz 40/1 365/vc/sj/lads/coral
I’ll be hoping the favourite puts on a good show here so I’ll go with the stables other runner here at a big looking price in the W/O market. Air Vice Marshal was second at the end of last year when conceding first run to a very good benchmark, and also looked as if the step up in trip would be a big asset. 20/1 without the fav is a few points bigger than I would have expected and worth a small bet.
1 Point win 20/1 W/O AFB Lads/Coral 18/1 365
I sort of missed this earlier but I’m also going to go with Herald the Dawn for Jim Bolger in the w/o market here. I’m not that convinced about a lot of the challengers here but on form from last year if we can forgive him his last run in France he may well have the 2nd best form on offer here. The trainer just doesn’t send them over without them being ready and 14/1 in the without the favourite seems a tad generous.
1 Point win 14/1 w/o/ fav 365/hills 12/1 elsewhere
Aurore D’Estruval has clearly been hard to train but if she can get back to form she would have a decent shout here in what is probably a weak enough grade 1. She has only run 3 times this year and was poor last time out at the festival but the fact that she has been brought there give me hope she may be starting to get back to herself and at a big price it’s worth the risk
1 Point win 20/1 Generally
Daring Article on the face of it has about as poor form figures as you could wish for but he has a few good performances at this time of the year and also after a break. He is a course winner and on his day can get competitive of this mark. He looks likely to have been targeted at this race and has in the past run well after poor runs a few times. 33/1 looks worth a risk here.
1 Point ew 33/1 Generally
I’m sure the hand break will be let go on Princely Conn at some stage and he has some fairly eye-catching form in the book albeit a while ago now he’s I worth a risk in case today is the day he gets backed. His novice form was very good and a boat load of zeros afterwards doesn’t really inspire confidence but you’d have to think he will pop up at some stage and what better day that today at a huge price. Well go with the 40/1 and 5 place here.
1 Point ew 40/1 5 places 365/sky/fred/paddy