I’ve went through every piece of form in this race and in the end that 1 that stood out was Arod’s 2nd in last years Sussex. He was a fair bit clear of a very solid field behind Solow and if he reproduces that here he won’t be far away. We’ll forgive him his seasonal opener as today will be the plan. The ground is a bit of an unknown factor but at 33/1 its worth the risk.
1 Point EW 33/1 Generally NON Runner
The top 2 are too short here and there is a fair few overrated horses in this. If it was to stay sunny and the ground got anywhere near good Muthmir would be great value at 16/1 but that looks unlikely and I’m going to go for an possible improver here in Cotai Glory . There isn’t a horse around that could have pegged back Take Cover last time out having had the run of the race and that horse may also outrun his price here today, but Cotai Glory travels so well that I fancy that this race will suit him if he can perform on the ground. Cotai hasn’t had the best of luck in running a few times and hopefully he will get his run today. 33/1 looks a bit of value EW with 4 places. I’m going to have a small win bet on Take Cover at a big price as well as he seems to in the form of his life at the moment and could be hard to catch.
1 Point EW Cotai Glory 33/1 4 places tote/fred/lads/coral 5 Places Sky
1 Point win Take Cover 28/1 365/sky/vc
Cotai Glory fulfilled all his potential with a mindbending close call here at a huge price
Having had another looks at the Irish 2000 I’m all over Galileo Gold here at a huge looking 13/2. The winner had flown by the time he had started his run and he stuck on superbly in the closing stages. There is at best nothing between them and possibly he can turn the tables here with even luck. The Gurkha beat nothing last time out and won easily the weakest of the 2000’s, obviously he could be anything but in my view they should be all around the same price. 13/2 is about double the price he should be and those margins have to be taken. Of particular note is he is certain to like the ground so I’m not sure where the negativity is coming from.
4 Points win 13/2 Paddy/VC/lads/betfair
Fantastic ride by frankie and a very rare 4 point bet. We dont put this may points at stake too often with that much confidence, so thankfully it worked out.
I like to look of Pedestal here . He broke fast last time and despite running very green won really well from a very decent yardstick. I’m surprised he is available at 14/1.
1 Point win 14/1 Generally
Good run in 3rd
I’m going with a gut feeling selection here in Montaly. He was a big eye-catcher last year at Ascot over what looks too short a trip of a higher mark than this. I’m willing to ignore his first run this year as surly today has been the plan. He is a massive 40/1 and is till relatively unexposed over this trip
1 PointsEW 40/1 Generally
We were close again here when he ran agreat race in 5th.