The favourite is far too short and Found has been to every dance lately. The Great Gatsby represents some of the best 10 furlong form from the last 2 years, and if he is ready to go here some of the current prices are pure madness. He has also run well before of a long break and this race could be a very poor one. He is 14/1 With Betfair and 12/1 With Paddy, they are silly prices.
2 Points win 12/1 Paddy 14/1 Betfair
Looked in need of the run. The worlds best horse proved he was no such thing. Founf was very unluck here.
Hors DE Combat really caught the eye for me last time when not getting any run at all behind Always Smile. He has a very decent 7lbs claimer on tomorrow and can surly perform on this mark. I actually got into the car to back him in paddy power with 6 places at 33/1 but unfortunately that was gone by the time I got in. He is generally 25/1 with 5 places but anyone with a paddy account 6 places is a nice extra. He has plenty of group class form which will be needed to win this race.
2 Points EW 25/1 6 Places Paddy 5 Places sky/tote/boyles
Very poor and one of the first beaten
Belgian Bill has a fairly remarkable record when running of a break of at least 3 months. It reads something like 2214220213126. He is very solid of this mark and loves Ascot. Ok he is getting on a bit but my guess is hell be competitive here at a huge price of 50/1. He ran well at Mayden, and given his nice break since then today is the day to catch him. I’m going to have a small win saver on old favourite Emell as he is likely to get involved here of this mark with some decent soft ground form and the TV would be in danger if he were to win here at a huge price.
1 Point EW Belgian Bill 50/1 6 places Paddy Power 5 Places sky/vc/stan/betfair
½ Point win Emell 66/1 sky/stan 100/1 betfair
Ran well but couldnt get into it near the end
Lucida is a group 1 horse without a penalty here. She was right out of the top class last year and although she was poor last time out on her reappearance she more than likely wouldn’t be here if she wasn’t going to improve for that run. The favourite looked very good at Newmarket but had the advantage of a couple of runs over the opposition and won’t have that advantage here she is too short.
1 Point win 9/1 Generally
Ran well got shuffled back early and couldnt make up the ground
All i can see in Sun at Ascot and the forecast is for very little rain today. As the outlook has got better and the price has got bigger i cant resist a bet on Lady Aurelia at 3/1 now. Her time from the US is off the charts and her trainer knows whats required here in this type of race. I don’t see anything really sticking out in the race and her run style will be suited to Ascot the same as many of her (supposedly inferior) stable mates from the past. 3/1 could look a bargain just before the race as im sure people will loose their mind close to the race.
2 Points win 3/1 Generally
Simple the Best Performance in the History of flat racing. Im around a whie and ive never seen anything like that.