4:20 Ascot

There aren’t many of these races in the Calendar and last year Mille Et Mille ran away with the only other Group 1 of this type at Longchamp and then backed that up with a very good run against a possible star in Vazirbad . He was poor on his reappearance but surly this race is the plan. I’m not sure there is a lot between all the English horses who all look about the same standard. The favourite could well run away with this but I think an EW bet on my selection is the best value bet as this track will suit a front runner and he may not be passed by enough horses to get knocked out of the places here.

1 Point EW 40/1 Paddy/VCbet 33/1 4 places with betfair

 What a run from this horse. I got a fair buzz coming around the final bend here thinkign he was goign to win. The winner is a monster though and would take beating in my opinion in the Ark.


Ascot 5:00

I often fall into the trap in these types of races of going with an overexposed one with good form in the bag rather than the ones that can improve near the front of the market. In this case i can’t resist a bet on Palawan at a huge price. He has a couple of eye-popping runs last year behind some very good horses and if we can forgive him a not so bad reappearance on the AW and then not staying the 10 furlong trip of his net run he may well be able to get competitive here at a huge price. He has some very decent form on softer ground as well and has been dropped significantly in mark this year after those poorer runs. 66/1 makes it worthwhile.

1 Point EW 66/1 5 Places 365/lads/sky/coral

Poor all the Way.