There is a fairly simple pick here on ratings and price. Intricately has been improving this year to a very good 4th in the Irish 1000 las time out only a short head away from 2nd. That form has been strengthened again at Ascot and 28/1 getting 10lbs here is just too good to ignore.
1 Point EW 28/1 Paddy / Betfair 22/1 generally
I’m going against my normal type of selection here and going near the top of the market. I’m always willing to forgive 1 bad run and Desert Law was flying this year until a poor run last time in Musselburgh where everything that competed came from off the pace. He sluiced up in a Conditions race first time out this year and ran a big race in the dash after that. He is still 6 pounds lower than he last 2 runs in this race where he was placed each time. 14/1 is value
1 Point win 14/1 Generally
Stellarta seems a big price here for a horse with very good course form that has been running well this year. I’m pretty sure she can’t be far away here at 16/1 is much bigger than I would have expected.
1 Point win 16/1 Generally
I had a look at this race this morning and immediately though Forgotten Rules might end up value here. HE is a typical Weld horse in that he just isn’t seen on the track enough. I think this race may be a bit weaker than it first appears. As much as Wicklow Brave in one of my favourite horses he is overrated on 115. Even if the trip is shorter than ideal he is no 9/1 shot here.
1 Point win 9/1 Generally
2:55 Saint Cloud
My Dream Boat looks value here as this looks an exceptionally weak Group 1. It doesn’t really look like any of the French are world beaters and this 12 furlong trip should be right up his alley. He does need to consent to race this time unlike his last race where he simply wasn’t bothered until it was too late behind Hawkbill. 11/1 looks value in this field
1 Point win 11/1 Generally 12/1 hills