Sir Robert Cheval was an improving sprinter at the end of last year. He has a very decent record at Ascot and a good record fresh. He is trained by a sprint specialist and to day has to have been the plan. He’s worth a shot at 50/1.
1 Point EW 50/1 6 places lads/paddy/coral
Idaho gets his perfect conditions here today and 5/1 is to big in this race. He is against an quickly improving horse but the fav will need to have improved again.
2 Points win 5/1 generally
Nearly Caught looks the clear second fav here. I don’t think Count Octave will stay and in reality this is at best a 6 horses race. In that context the 12/1 about Nearly Caught is very good value. He does have to concede 5lbs and its only this fact that is making this not the bet of the year so far. Still he has a great chance.
2 Points win 12/1 generally
If there is a potential Group horse in here, it might just be Tis Marvellous. He looked a very good 3yo sprinter last year and ran well in the Commonwealth. He was poor in his second run in Mayden but improved on his first run back this year. He is certainly here on a good mark on last years form and should be improving as he’s only 4. 20/1 looks value
2 Points win 20/1 Generally
North Wind on the face of it shouldn’t be even close here, but to my eye has the look of a horse that will be a lot better over 5 furlongs here. I think he is worth an ew bet here at a huge price here just in case.
1 Points EW 5 place 66/1 sky/paddy