I’m going to be changing the way i’m putting up selections from tomorrow, and try my hand and the lower priced end of the mark for a decent period of time. Its doesn’t mean there wont be any longshots as there will still be the odd standout ones when the price warrants it. I think its more difficult to make a profit at shorter prices but i want to give it a shot and see what happens. Follow at you peril.
Irish Derby 5:15
I pretty annoyed as I’ve had The Pentagon on my mind for this all week and the price is on the slide downwards there now. I think he is among the best of Ballydoyles 3yo’s and although he didn’t really show it in the Epson Derby i think he could well improve a fair amount here today. This track and ground will be right up his street and I fully expect him to be in the 3. We may just take what remains of the 25/1 EW sooner rather than later.
2.5 pts EW 25/1 lads/hill/coral/sporting
Newcastle 2:05
Predictably I like the 2 big outsiders of the field here. Clever Cookie got no luck in running last year in this and i think if he can get over his draw he can get involved here of this mark. Arch Villain has a remarkable record fresh 011214 and there is every chance he can get involved here at a huge price. He was a very good 4th in last years Ebor which has worked out well, again of a break. 66/1 with 5 places is easily enough to justify the risk.
1 Point EW Clever Cookie 50/1 5 places lads/888 440/1 5 places generally
1 Point EW Arch Villain 66/1 5 places paddy/betfair/888
4:35 Curragh
North Wind didn’t run as good as i hoped at Ascot but i fancy her to be better here at a huge price w/o the fav. She is a speedy filly
2 Points win w/o fav 20/1 lads coral 18/1 generally
That’s a real shame about reducing the longshots Aidan. Over the years there have been some spectacular coups by you.
Hi,
I had a look back and realised I generally only drop the big bombs in the biggest races , so I’m going to concentrate on then and not go looking around the cards every sat for long shots .
There will still be some in the biggest races if there is value .
Aidan
Thanks for the clarification.