2:20

Muthmir is one of my favourite sprinters and I feel he could have a big year, after being a bit disappointing last year . I rate him a bit higher than the favourite here on his day and 8/1 is value .

1 point win 8/1 generally

Lancaster Bomber is one of the most underrated horses here judging my his very good form and huge price here.  I picked him last year ew at 125/1 ew for the Dewherst and he really grounded out a second . He ran well in America and mayden without getting the breaks . He is in my view fairly short to place here at 33/1 is just too big .

2 points ew 33/1 Lads / sporting 28/1 elsewhere

3:10

Dare to Endevour is a horse that runs a big race each year st some stage . He is here on a nice mark is sure to stay and value at 40/1

1 pt ew 40/1 various

4:25

Landofhopeandglory was going to be one of my bets of the meeting, but he is not as good a price as I expected . 9/2 is fine fir a small bet . I just think his run st Cheltenham was better than it originally looked and he should be suited by this race.

1 point win 9/2 generally

5:00

Before the festival Ttebbob was on my radar for the 2 mile chase , I’m kind of surprised he has shown up here. That said  I’m 100% sure he is ahead of his mark . I’ll go fir a small win bet at 20/1

1 point win 20/1 paddy & Betfair

5:35

Pique Sous caught the eye earlier this week and I’m surprised he is a huge price here when he should be suited by the longer trip.

1 point ew 33/1 5 places paddy/fred

6:40

Mendip Express has been improving with each run this year and if he can recover last years form here he has to be right there at the finish. He looks more of an 8/1 shot here so 12/1 is value

1 Point win 12/1 Generally

3:40

It not that often I get excited when I see a price about a horse I’m not expecting. Pinkie Brown was 5^th in this last year of this mark (albeit with a 4 yo allowance). He has certainly improved this year with some very good 2mile novice chase form. He is in the region of a stone better on his chase form this year and even improved on a flat run as well late last year.  He is a prominent racer and that works well around here in these races. Neil Mullholland is hardly send him back to this race for a spin and with a  decent 7lbs claimer on as well, he is surly going to get involved here. When I read this form and then looked up for a price, I was fully expecting about 12/1, but he is 28/1 with 5 places. This warrants a decent bet as he can’t go off much more that 16/1. He has one negative and that is a poor run at Cheltenham but that race was about 5 divisions up from this one.

2.5 Points EW 28/1 5 Places 365/Coral 25/1 6 places sky

6:05

Sadler’s Risk is going to be hard to knock out of the places here. He has course form is a stone well in on his chase form and likes good ground. He ran a nice race last time out over hurdles on unsuitable soft ground and 40/1 seem a huge price to me.

1 Point EW 40/1 5 places paddy 33/1 6 places sky 33/1 5 places fred/365

NON-RUNNER

Sure Reef is my other pick in this race. He gave me the indication he may be capable of something this year on his runs earlier. He was poor at Cheltenham but we can forgive him that. If he can get back to progression on decent ground 40/1 is going to look big as he is a strong traveller.

1 Point EW40/1 6 places Sky 5 Places paddy/tote/coral

Sizing Granite repaid some faith from us with one of the most impressive wins of the week yesterday when he bolted up at 14/1

3:40

Benemeade hasn’t had a lot of racing over the last year or 2, but was turning into a decent chaser of a far higher mark than he gets to race of here. He has some very decent good ground hurdles form for a horse of this mark and If he can improve for his first run in a long time back in November he might be able to get involved here at a huge price.

1 Point EW 33/1 5 places Bet365

4:55

Penhill won at the festival in great style but that race can be tough and the first thing to do is rule out the 2 from there. Bon Papa traveled really well in the Neptune until he encountered a lot of barging and made a mistake 2 out when looking like he was going to get seriously involved. He was pulled up after that but fairly obviously didn’t enjoy that race at all. In my view he is about a 10/1 shot here so 20/1 is far too big.

1 Point win 20/1 stars/paddy/boyles/betfair

6:40

Sizing Granite showed up a bit better than he has been of late last time out over hurdles. On his best form he wins this pretty easily but he really hasn’t looked like he was putting it in at all. First time cheek pieces and good ground given him a chance of getting interested today and 14/1 is just about value. I don’t really fancy anything else in this race so it doesn’t look the strongest renewal on paper

1 Point win 14/1 hills/betfair 12/1 generally

Its been a long time in the making but Western Boy finally came good is style at punchestown yesterday. Roll on the Galway Hurdle

4:55
Western Boy ran in this last year for us and looked to have a great chance until he fell 2 out. He has improved on the flat and if he can run here after a break he won’t be far away. I’ve been waiting for a long time for him to pop up in a handicap and hopefully tomorrow is the day. If not I’m confident we won’t be waiting long for payment. I have a sneaky suspicion that Pique Sous could run well here. He is a big price after a couple of rather poor runs on the flat but he could be really well in here on his best hurdles form and his price of 14/1 is well worth the risk
2 Points win Western Boy 16/1 365/hills/coral 14/1 elsewhere
1 Point win Pique Sous 14/1 vc/paddy/coral/betfair

Scottish National 3:55 Ayr

The way things are going for the last few months any selection of mine is a fairly easy lay considering recent results, but I just can’t resist a 3 figure price about a horse that did me a favour a couple of times in the past. Firebird Flyer, let’s face it,  has been poor this year and in general is seen as a soft ground horse. He does have some bits of form on good ground which gives an indication that he can run well on decent ground. He hasn’t actually run on that ground for 3 years. He is a certain stayer on his day and is down below his last winning mark.  6 Places with Paddy Power is a fairly big concession and I just feel he might not be running here if he was going to get nowhere again.

1 Point EW 100/1 6 Places Paddy  66/1 6 places SKY

2:45 Ayr

Peace and Co is a big looking 14/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair and that just looks to good value in this race of his mark. He looks the 2^nd choice here but Nicky doesn’t normally run them at this stage of the year without reason. Running of under 11st here just seems too good to be true and we’d be kicking ourselves if we went on here

1 Point win 14/1 Paddy/Betfair

Ayr 4:30

I selected Gibralfaro before the Martin Pipe this year and I remember being very happy with the way he looked in the ring. He fell early but I would not be at all surprised if he ran right up to form here and if he does he can win here at a very big price. This looks a weak race and 20/1 is just massive.

2 Points win 20/1 hills/vc/coral

Newbury 3:40

Master Carpenter was a big eye-catcher for me in the Lincoln from the worst possible position and he really in on a workable mark here. He certainly can win here if things go his way and 22/1 is just way to big.

2 Points win 22/1 hill/Stan 20/1 365/vc/boyles