Yesterday was a total disaster. All the selections were backed so we found the value but none really performed at all. Both Galway selections missed the break which meant it was game over after 50 yeards in each.

Galway Plate 5:30

Alderwood ran really well in the Irish Grand National until a mistake at the 2^nd last and if it wasn’t for that mistake there is no chance he would be 25/1 here or be running of 2llbs lower. He has had a break since and I’m fairly confident he has one more big race in him of this mark. He was a bit of a disappointment since his 2^nd big win at Cheltenham, but in fairness he has been running on very soft ground far too much. The decent ground here and step down in trip from the national can only help and I’ll be having a bigger than usual bet at 25/1 with 5 places.

2 Points EW Alderwood 5 places 365/sky and others

The other that interests me here at a huge price is Rathlin he has been back to form this year with 2 eye catching runs at Aintree and Punchestown. He is here now somehow 5lbs lower than that great Aintree run and that doesn’t make any sense. He has the right trip ground and a very nice racing weight. He is generally a prominent racer which will keep him out of trouble here and although he has a chance of winning his place potential looks huge to me.

1 Point EW Rathlin 33/1 5 places Generally.

Goodwood 2:35

Not exactly a longshot but I’m not one to look a gift horse in the mouth. Highland Reel looks an odds on shot here and with the ground now good, that probably won’t suit the improving Medrano. Highland reel won here last year and will probably go of around the 6/4 mark at best if not shorter. 2/1 is certainly value.

3 Points win 2/1 Generally

Goodwood 2:00

Boîte  ran really well here on his 2nd last run and if we can forgive him his Ascot run he looks overpriced at 20/1. He looks sure to stay on is on a decent mark .

1pt Ew 20/1 5 places 365 and others ..

Goodwood 2:00

I like to look of Spas Dancer here. He has run well numerous times with cut in the ground stayed on well last time out over too short a trip and in on a very good mark with a top 5lbs claimer on today. He really should be competitive today.

1 Point win 16/1 365/pp/vc/hill

Goodwood 3:45

The old Newton Cup obviously holds the key to this race with many of the runners here going well there. Of those the value looks to be Excellent Result. He didn’t get any kind of a run until it was too late and then stayed on well. The extra trip here looks sure to suit and the couple of pounds he has in hand on the others in that race will come in handy. 16/1 looks a few points too big .

1 Point win 16/1 Generally

Goodwood 5:30

Rembrandt has come up against a lot of horses that are rated a fair bit higher now than in his races as the form of a lot of the races has worked out. I think he may be on a decent mark here especially when his good jockeys 5lbs allowance is taken into account. He will carry the lightest weight hre and that may could on the softer ground. 16/1 looks a bit of value.

1 Point win 16/1 Generally.

Galway 6:15

This race looks a very close affair, with a few of these faced each other already. Both Kind of Magic and Sing for Me look certain to improve from their debut’s behind Siamsaiocht. Sing for me looks the real value at 16/1, and the trainer has been getting a lot of the good coolmore fillies in the last few years including last years winner. The price difference is too much to ignore.

1 Point win 16/1 Sky/Paddy/SJ

Galway 6:50

I’m going to go with the horse with the best form in the race here in Chopin. He has been a big disappointment in his last 2 runs, but if he is fitter here today with an inside draw and a step back in trip he could get involved here at a very big price. This is his handicap debut and first time blinkers and if we keep in mind he was 4^th in the Lockinge last year 20/1 looks a gamble worth taking

1 Point EW win 20/1 Lads

Our Best bet Kabjoy lost his rider leacing the stalls unfortunatly. In fairness most of the bookies including the advised Skybet gave the stake back, which is no harm. Out other longshot Utmost Zeal ran a very decent race after being backed into 10/1 to be in the most obvious place for an EW shot 5th ..

Galway isnt really my bag of spanners at all. That said i’m here until Thursday.

In the big race today (6:50)  one stands out a bit. Kabjoy‘s 2nd to Zafayan at Leopardstown looks very good now given that horses run afterwards and in addition his record of softer ground is very good really. He has some decent form over hurdles to add to that but i think he is being overlooked here, mainly because the stable also has one of the favourites in Modem. 20/1 looks great value particularly with 5 places in skybet.

1 Point EW Skybet 5 places 20/1

5:45 Galway

This is a poor race but in looking for a bit of value in a field of poor horses I noticed that any good runs that Utmost Zeal has run have been on soft ground. He would have been 2^nd to Avant Tout but for falling at the last and was 2^nd as well lately. He has been poor enough since but if he wasn’t poor he wouldn’t get into this race. He has a good 7lbs claimer on today and any improvement in him today on softer going should bring him into the reckoning.

1 Point EW 20/1 William Hill

Galway 7:20

The favourite here looks like he could be a long way clear here on form and ill avoid backing against him here and go for Love Rosie in the w/o Market. She has better form on softer ground and off this mark she should be involved in the finish here is she can improve for the ground. 9/1 in William hill in the without the fav market looks the bet to make.

1 Point win 9/1 without Fav market William Hill

Tullius ginded out a win for us at 10/1, to save  what turned out a disappointing day . Haykeyethenoo was never close enough to get in a blow, and the King George looked a poor race in reality.

Ascot 3:15 International Handicap

We waited a while for Hawkeyethenoo to get into one of these races after what I thought was a great run here to be 3^rd in the Victoria Cup. He ran a comical race next time out when on the bridle all the way in the course record run of the Scottish Sprint Cup and that run has made me think this horse is ready to get back to top form. There is the negative of that fact that its been a bit of a wait for a race but the positives outweigh them. He is drawn high and is certainly not inconvenienced by the softer ground here tomorrow. I think the ground makes his EW prospects very good indeed and I think the 25/1 with 5 places is good (I had hoped for 33/1 but still I can’t complain).

2 Points EW 25/1 5 Places Paddy/888/tote/Betfair and others.

The other I’m going for is Sirius Prospect. He will certainly love the ground and appears to me to be coming into form looking at his last 2 runs. Particularly last time out when he couldn’t have been in a worse position all race and finished well on unsuitable ground. He is 2lbs lower here and is certainly a better horse on softer ground. In addition he is the opposite side of the draw from Hawkeye so it’ll be nice to have no draw excuses. 33/1 with 5 places is available in Racebets, and that looks a standout price.

1 Point EW 33/1 5 Places Racebets/Stanjames

Ascot 4:25

Excellent Guest was part of the best tipping day I ever had when going in at 25/1 about 10 minutes after Barizan did about 2 years ago. He loves this course has done nothing this year but he needed to go down a pound or two to get into this race and is ridden by the trainers daughter (Surly it cant be that obvious). Anyway 16/1 looks value and to avoid TV remotes being lodged in the screen if I was to witness an Ascot win and not be on like last year I’ll be having a bet.

1 Point win 16/1 Sky BET

3:30 York

Sometimes there can be no real explanation of why a longshot sticks out for me and this is no exception. For some unknown reason I can see Hoof It running a big race here tomorrow. He was pretty decent last year a few times of higher marks than this and although he has been poor enough this season my gut feeling in he will start to improve shortly enough and I want to be there when he does. I think he is worth the risk at 25/1 with 5 places.

1 Point EW 25/1 Skybet 5 places

York 2:55

I see a few issue’s with the top of the market in this race. Custom Cut could be above his best trip and Prince Gibraltar could need further in this ground. With that in mind the one that interests me here at a price if Tullius. He really hasn’t been that good this year but this race could well be ideal for him. If he was to be back to his best the current 10/1 is a nice bit of value and worth the risk given the issues with the other runners here.

1 Point win 10/1 Generally

York 8:00

York is always one to look for course specialists and none is more so than Navajo Chief .He had a reasonable seasonal return as he normally has but was poor next time out when it possibly came too quickly. He is always better after a break and I’m hopeful that the 6 week break since his last run is enough to spark him back into life on his favourite course with a decent 5lbs claimer on of his lowest mark. 25/1 with Ladbrokes looks plenty of value and he’ll surly go of shorter

1 Point win 25/1 Ladbrokes

Ascot 2:55

Barbican hasn’t had a lot of racing in the last few years and he could be forgiven for looking a little short on his 2 runs this year after a very long break. That said he improved last time out and of this mark stepped up in trip here if he shows any improvement at all the current 33/1 might look decent value. There was a few quid for him on his return and that always give me hope that he might be showing something at home. I’ll have stab at the 33/1 just in case he is ready to perform tomorrow.

1 Point win 33/1 Generally

Ascot 4:35

Mukhmal was one of my picks of the year so far when he walked away with a 6 furlong handicap at Newmarket at a huge price and I think he is being underestimated here over the shorter trip . He has run well once since in a very good race and this doesn’t look the deepest 30k handicap I’ve seen. He may well fly out of the gate here and not get caught. 14/1 looks about 4 points too big.

1 Point win 14/1 Generally

7:45 Chelmsford

Old Favourite Elusivity caught the eye last time out when he was balked at every opportunity and looked to have plenty of running in him. He can certainly be competitive of this mark and 20/1 looks a bit of value.

1 Point win 20/1 Generally

Irish oaks Curragh 5:50

I don’t really understand this market at all . I’m not convinced that Curvy should be fav and as good as Words looks she has it to prove yet. Qualify has easily the best bit of form here in winning the Epsom oaks and Paddy Power have gone out on a limb with 14/1 which makes no sense at all and has to be taken . I also get the feeling the Together Forever will improve here over her Epson run and 12/1 seems value. I quite fancy an AOB 123 with Words .

2 points win Qualfiy 14/1 paddy power (NON RUNNER) refund

1 pint win Together Forever 12/1 various..

2:55 Market Rasen

This looks a tough race to find any value; the bookies seem to have it priced up about right in most respects. The one glimmer of hope may be Court Minstrel here who is probably the class horse in the race and the 4lbs reduction for his return after a bit of a break may well put him in the mix if he can improve on that. He has some eye-catching good ground form and he can perform of this mark as he has proven that in the past. He was just off the top grade of Novice Chasers but is taking advantage of a better mark her at 20/1 seems a bit of value.

1 Point win 20/1 Generally

3:30 Market Rasen

Conquisto can be a fast good ground chaser on his day and if the break has freshened him up a bit he could get involved here at a big looking price. He won the Old Roan of a mark of 150 on good ground 18 months ago, and has a few decent looking performances since then. That win was after a break and the fact that they are trying that again in a good ground chase give me hope that today has been well planned for.

1 Point win 20/1 Generally

3:45 Newbury

This race isn’t my usual cup of tea but its hard to resist a cavalry charge of lightly raced 2yo’s for fun. I usually look for something at a big price who has improvement in store and Force Awakens fits the bill here of the minimum weight. Her form has worked out well in her 2 runs and I think she may be worth a squeak at a huge 50/1 with 4 places at bet365.

1 Point EW 50/1 Bet365 4 Places

Gutted that my bet of the flat season didn’t get into the Bunbury Cup & my second choice is now a non-runner, but anyway nothing can be done.

York 2:55

Sometimes I look at a price and think some of the odds compilers must be on drugs or something. Stepper Point is no 10/1 shot here. He came up against 2 very good young horses last time out and ran a great race to be denied 3^rd by a couple of bumps near the end. He is around 6/1 at best maybe less and Out Do looks the main danger.

2 Points win 10/1 Betfair/888

Ascot 2:10

Kingsgate Choice is also a surprisingly big price here. He got back to form last time in no uncertain terms and judging by his previous profile when he was on form he is as consistent as any sprinter. I fully expected him to be at best 12/1 here so the 20/1 on offer will have to be taken.

2 Points Win 20/1 Sky/Stan/Lads

Newmarket 3:45

Sole Powers record in Group 1 6 furlong races is not as bad as many people make out. In his last 3 Group 1 6 furlong races he has ran well each time and with his style of racing he needs the breaks to win anyway. There is a price for every horse and 16/1 is just too high for the horse with the fastest kick in racing. The 2 favourites are way too short here. Muthmir may also be overpriced as the step up will more than likely suit him.

Something silly always happens in these races and my original big price selection Jack Dexter probably isn’t much value now since he has been pricewised. Steps has really caught the eye in each of his last 2 runs and he has looked to me as if the step up to 6 furlongs will suit him as he has been really finishing his races well. He was the only one really who did anything from the stand side in the Kings Stand and if he can break a bit better here I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he can sneak into a place at a huge price.

1 Point win Sole Power 16/1 Various

1 Point EW Steps Paddy Power 66/1 4 Places

York 3:25

Having ruled out the whole field from having no chance of winning this nightmare race, I’ve settled on a min bet on the outsider Odeon . I picked the big price winner of the a few years ago who had a somewhat similar profile in that he had some class for the year before. Odoen was 3rd in the Great Voltigeur last year looking like he would be better over shorter. The 10 Furlongs he has here will be ideal and despite the fact that he has been last in his 3 starts this year and they would be mad to be even trying here as he will go down further if he does run poorly here, at 120 on betfair I’ll have a min bet. In general his course form is very good so it would make a tiny bit of sense to have targeted this race. I’ll probably have another one for this in the morning

½ Point win 120 Betfair

I’ve decided to add Tres Coronas to my ammunition for this race because his York record is very good really and I think his place potential today is very good for a 40/1 shot. He has looked good a few times this year and has been looking like a good run is coming.

1 point ew 40/1 vc/coral/888

Newmarket 3:10

Now that my bet of the flat year didn’t get in, I’ve been looking at this race trying to find a margin and it looks to me as if most of the field are priced up about right apart from possibly the outsider of the lot Sirius Prospect. He blew his load far too early last time out and I was somewhat impressed he lasted as long as he did. He is proven of this mark and apart from that run had been running well this year. I’m pretty sure he is better over 7 furlongs anyway and I think he is worth a shot at 50/1 EW.

1 Point EW 50/1 VC/Stan