6:30 York

Huntsmans Close showed plenty of speed last time out but didn’t stay the extra furlong. He’s going to knock in one of these races soon enough 50/1 with 5 places looks value. Hopefully he wont bomb off in front here today.

1 Point EW 50/1 5 places boyle/fred/tote/888

Danzeno looks huge value in this race . He got badly hampered last time and looked fully back to form in his previous 2 runs. He can win this of a mark on 100 . 8/1 win is huge but we’ll go for the 5/1 w/o fav as well just in case .

2 pt win 8/1 3 pt w/o 5/1

This is going into the Lock of the week Tread

Due to time constraints I’m going to be putting up selections only on twitter fir a while . Expect some fairly late in the day tips .

2:25 Newmarket

Chicas Amigas went for home to early last time out at Ascot and was also on the wrong side. I think she will be better here on this easier 6 furlongs and is a huge price.

1 Point EW 50/1 365 1/4 place lads 1/5th

I’m going to forgive Sioux Nation his bad run at Ascot and take the 20/1 now as i’m as sure as i can be that he will improve and go of at best half that price. Race looks sure to be run to suit

2 Points win 20/1 generally

1235 Hay.

Going with a small bet on Unwritten . He is an unexposed horse that has some decent 2yo form . If he comes on for seasonal opener he might get competitive. 80/1 worth the risk .

1 pt ew 80/1 365

14/1 is just too big about Morando in this race , with his course form. We just need to forgive him a poor run at Ascot.

1 Point win 14/1 Generally

I’m going to be changing the way i’m putting up selections from tomorrow, and try my hand and the lower priced end of the mark for a decent period of time. Its doesn’t mean there wont be any longshots as there will still be the odd standout ones when the price warrants it. I think its more difficult to make a profit at shorter prices but i want to give it a shot and see what happens. Follow at you peril.

Irish Derby 5:15

I pretty annoyed as I’ve had The Pentagon on my mind for this all week and the price is on the slide downwards there now. I think he is among the best of Ballydoyles 3yo’s and although he didn’t really show it in the Epson Derby i think he could well improve a fair amount here today.  This track and ground will be right up his street and I fully expect him to be in the 3. We may just take what remains of the 25/1 EW sooner rather than later.

2.5 pts EW 25/1 lads/hill/coral/sporting

Newcastle 2:05

Predictably I like the 2 big outsiders of the field here. Clever Cookie got no luck in running last year in this and i think if he can get over his draw he can get involved here of this mark. Arch Villain has a remarkable record fresh  011214 and there is every chance he can get involved here at a huge price. He was a very good 4th in last years Ebor which has worked out well, again of a break. 66/1 with 5 places is easily enough to justify the risk.

1 Point EW Clever Cookie 50/1 5 places lads/888 440/1 5 places generally

1 Point EW Arch Villain 66/1 5 places paddy/betfair/888

4:35 Curragh

North Wind didn’t run as good as i hoped at Ascot but i fancy her to be better here at a huge price w/o the fav. She is a speedy filly

2 Points win w/o fav 20/1 lads coral 18/1 generally

Ascot 5:00

Sir Robert Cheval was an improving sprinter at the end of last year. He has a very decent record at Ascot and a good record fresh. He is trained by a sprint specialist and to day has to have been the plan. He’s worth a shot at 50/1.

1 Point EW 50/1 6 places lads/paddy/coral

3:05

Idaho gets his perfect conditions here today and 5/1 is to big in this race. He is against an quickly improving horse but the fav will need to have improved again.

2 Points win 5/1 generally

5:35

Nearly Caught looks the clear second fav here. I don’t think Count Octave will stay and in reality this is at best a 6 horses race. In that context the 12/1 about Nearly Caught is very good value. He does have to concede 5lbs and its only this fact that is making this not the bet of the year so far. Still he has a great chance.

2 Points win 12/1 generally

Ascot 5:00

If there is a potential Group horse in here, it might just be Tis Marvellous. He looked a very good 3yo sprinter last year and ran well in the Commonwealth. He was poor in his second run in Mayden but improved on his first run back this year. He is certainly here on a good mark on last years form and should be improving as he’s only 4. 20/1 looks value

2 Points win 20/1 Generally

3:40

North Wind on the face of it shouldn’t be even close here, but to my eye has the look of a horse that will be a lot better over 5 furlongs here. I think he is worth an ew bet here at a huge price here just in case.

1 Points EW 5 place 66/1 sky/paddy