Having gone through this field it looks to me as if the value lies with Intransigent. His form with cut in the ground is very good and he hasn’t had that at all this year. Considering he won a Big Ascot Handicap on Soft ground of a mark of 104 at the end of last year he should be right in the mix here and especially if it rains any more. I think he will go off shorter than his current 16/1 and it looks about 4-6 points too big.
1 Point win 16/1 VC/Coral/Betfair
There is a strong possibility that Pearl Secret will get what he has always needed here tomorrow, a 5 Furlong Group1 with Cut in the ground. His run in the Kings Stand was his best yet and considering where he came from it was out of the top drawer. He can easily be forgiven his poor enough run 4 days later and has surly been readied for a cut at this race. 20/1 is superb value and with the 4 places and his almost assured fast finish he is also value to place.
2 Points EW 20/1 Bet365/Ladbrokes
With a view to possible softer ground I’m going to have a small cut at a huge priced horse that can act on it just in case. Justice Day as had a couple of interesting runs lately and if it comes up soft at all he may well outrun his 100/1 price.
1 Point win 100/1 VC/PP
I had a look at this race yesterday and settled on What about Carlo, who impressed me on his last run when I selected him after a period in the doldrums. I wasn’t sure that he was brilliant value at 20/1 but I’ve convinced myself that he can get involved in this off a good mark and a step up in trip which looks like it will suit him. He travelled well last time but didn’t get much of a run until it was too late. That run showed he was possibly back on an up curve. He is 22/1 this morning and that is a decent price for a possibly improving 4yo.
1 Point win 22/1 Sporting/Betway/Betfair