Its probably no harm but its been very difficult to find even a single bet today

3:50 Newmarket

Bossy Guest had been running well this year until a poor effort last time when he clearly had no interest in racing. His best form last year was over a soft ground mile in Royal Ascot and that is what we have here. He has plenty of good handicap form of higher marks and this looks a weak enough affair for the money . 20/1 is big enough to make this risky horse a betting proposition

1 Point win 20/1 vc/lads/coral/black

3:00 Newbury

Sometimes you just have to snap up the value even at lower prices . Magical Memory has more in hand here than ratings say and 4/1 is just silliness.

3 points win 4/1 365/lads/coral

7:20 Hamilton

Old Favorite of mine Jack Dexter has a fair few positives in this good race tonight. He has been improving of late has a step up in trip here and is of a decent mark. I think he wont be far away and 12/1 looks value. He will need the gaps to come late one but if the do he could well run these down

1 Point win 12/1 generally

3:25 Newmarket

There is nothing I like more than watching a horse being supported for what appears years, at prices that are too short, to then row in when the price is big. Donncha is certainly value here. He always looks like a horse that needs further when he runs over a mile but I’m convinced he just needs a really fast 7 furlongs and he is going to get that here. He is also possibly drawn well in 18. He is well capable of this mark and 28/1 and 5 places with paddy and betfair is just a huge price.

2 Points EW 28/1 Paddy & Betfair  5 places

Ascot 2:10

Naadirr is a horse I expected to give me a big payday at some stage a few years ago. He nearly did that when 5^th in a group 1 at a huge price. This time last year he won a very good conditions race giving him a mark of about 108. He had a few solid runs after that and also ran well a few times of high marks in Mayden. He had a fairly normal Mayden headache on his comeback in May and hopefully that has put him right for a big run here. He can certainly perform of this mark and hopefully the step back to 5 will be fine for a strong traveller. 40/1 is worth the risk to find out

1 Point EW 40/1 vc/coral/black 33/1 Generally

Newmarket 4:35

I’m not 100% sure that the 3yo’s are as good as they seem. I suppose we will know today but Caravaggio looks very short to me and that is making a lot of decent horses a bigger price than I would expect. In these sprints what I like is a horse that has shown the form before to be competitive at a huge price. Growl fits the bill today. He was a very good 2^nd in the Group 1 Champions Sprint at Ascot at the end of last year after improving all year. He had a couple of underwhelming performances earlier this year but I’m always willing to forgive a sprinter. This race could well be run to suit and it should be a mad pace early and I think a few could begin to panic early as Harry Angel won’t be easy to peg back. Growl will be closing late and I’m hopeful enough of him getting involved to be very interested in the 100/1 available. I don’t this he is a 20/1 shot to place here.

1 Point EW 100/1 vc/paddy/betfair 80/1 365 ¼ place

Curragh 4:20

G-Force looks to be getting back to form at the end of last year. He was a superb 4^th in the Ayr Gold cup of a higher mark and is a big price here because of a poor performance in Ascot on the wrong side. I’m certain that today’s race will be high in the plans for him this year and with a 7lbs claimer on of this mark if he gets back to last year’s form he will be very close. 25/1 is certainly value and I can see him being backed.

2 Points EW 25/1 Generally

Curragh 5:55

After the fav here there is very little between most of the rest of these. Intricately is in that group that has a decent chance of getting involved here and her price is huge compared to other fillies near her level like Rain Goddess and Alluringly. If the step up suits her 50/1 is a big price for her

1 Point EW 50/1 fred/vc/paddy/betfair

3:05 York

Dragon Mall finished with plenty left in the tank last time after a very slow start. He has some very decent group race form and has been running well of higher marks than todays. The draw probably isn’t the best but might suit a closer anyway. 33/1 is overpriced and hopefully he gets away in decent time today. He also has first time blinker on.

1 Point EW 28/1 5 places paddy 33/1 4 places sporting/coral/black

4:35

Monsieur Joe looks a big price here. He won over course and distance last year is drawn well and on a reasonable mark especially if his form last year is taken into account. There is a decent chance he could just be too fast for these handicappers.

1 Point win 20/1 Bet365 and betfair exchange. 18/1 paddy/boyles

1:50

I always have to forgive something, given that I’m never going for the obvious. Here I’m going to forgive Tamleek a poor enough run at Ascot over a trip far too short. Previous to that he was an eye-catching close 4^th behind 3 AOB horses in the Chester Vase, including Wings of Eagles. He didn’t really get the run of the race but travelled well and I’m sure the step up in trip will suit. He is near enough here on ratings and 14/1 is certainly too big. He still has plenty of potential and I make him a 8/1 shot in this field at best.

2 Points win 14/1 generally

Sandown 1:50

I’m never a fan of horses being able to compete with Group 1 level sprinters after 1 good run and I think the favourite here is far too short.  Alpha Delphini was an big eye catcher in the Kings Stand and is weighted here to get the better of Muthmir. He is certainly a couple of point’s overpriced here on that run. The draw is a negative around this silly sprint track but he comes from behind anyway so it’s not the end of the world. I have him as a 5/1 shot so  8/1 is certainly too big.

2 Points win 8/1 Paddy/Betfair/Stan 15/2 Elsewhere

2:25

Pactolus although on the face of it looks a AW specialist, his form of the turf is actually very consistent and given his good draw here and a good run last time he is on a mark here that is well within his grasp. 25/1 is too big and the place value seems to be very good.

1 Point EW  25/1 365/stars/paddy/betfair/lads and others

I had changed my mind here from an earlier selection Glory Awaits . He was decent enough last time for the first time in a while . If he is on the way back the 33/1 is going to look big . I’ll have a point win saver just in case to save the tv from damage if he were to win .

1 point win 33/1 lads 28/1 elsewhere

Haydock 3:15

Farquhar has been placed in this race before and I think has a few excuses for poorer runs this year. He is 6lbs below his 3^rd place here 2 years ago and has showed some signs of a possible return to form. Surly this would be the race to kick on. 40/1 looks great value

1 Point EW 40/1 Paddy / Betfair 33/1 Generally

I think The bookies might have got the betting wrong here. Lightning Spear is simply too big at 25/1. He hasn’t run over this trip before but I think on almost certainly fast ground here he can get home and his finishing kick here could be too good for most of these. There is a question mark of all the 3yo’s and as the highest rated horse in the field he is just too big. There is no chance he goes of at that price.

2 Points win 25/1 PAddy/Betfair 20/1 Generally

Thirsk 3:30

Clear Spring has a lot of positives here. He is stepping down in class, is on a winnable mark and has a 5lbs claimer on form on board and is drawn well. We do need to ignore his last run where he got left at the start but 9/1 is plenty of value for that many positives.

2 Points win 9/1 vc/coral/boyles

4:20 Curragh

There is a fairly simple pick here on ratings and price. Intricately has been improving this year to a very good 4^th in the Irish 1000 las time out only a short head away from 2^nd. That form has been strengthened again at Ascot and 28/1 getting 10lbs here is just too good to ignore.

1 Point EW 28/1 Paddy / Betfair 22/1 generally

2:45 Curragh

I’m going against my normal type of selection here and going near the top of the market. I’m always willing to forgive 1 bad run and Desert Law was flying this year until a poor run last time in Musselburgh where everything that competed came from off the pace. He sluiced up in a Conditions race first time out this year and ran a big race in the dash after that. He is still 6 pounds lower than he last 2 runs in this race where he was placed each time. 14/1 is value

1 Point win 14/1 Generally

4:15 Windsor

Stellarta seems a big price here for a horse with very good course form that has been running well this year. I’m pretty sure she can’t be far away here at 16/1 is much bigger than I would have expected.

1 Point win 16/1 Generally

4:50 Curragh

I had a look at this race this morning and immediately though Forgotten Rules might end up value here. HE is a typical Weld horse in that he just isn’t seen on the track enough. I think this race may be a bit weaker than it first appears. As much as Wicklow Brave in one of my favourite horses he is overrated on 115. Even if the trip is shorter than ideal he is no 9/1 shot here.

1 Point win 9/1 Generally

2:55 Saint Cloud

My Dream Boat looks value here as this looks an exceptionally weak Group 1. It doesn’t really look like any of the French are world beaters and this 12 furlong trip should be right up his alley. He does need to consent to race this time unlike his last race where he simply wasn’t bothered until it was too late behind Hawkbill. 11/1 looks value in this field

1 Point win 11/1 Generally 12/1 hills

3:30 Newcastle

This race is more or less ruined by the stupid surface but still it’s an interesting race today. I had 3 that I just couldn’t choose between so I’ve gone with 2. Gavlar ran as well as could be expected in this last year having to come from the very back of this mark and has plenty of decent runs around here on this surface. He was decent in his last run over too short a trip and I think he will surly have today as his main target. 40/1 with 5 or 6 places is just too big. Clever Cookie is my other pick here at a huge price. His first run this year in a group 2 was decent and if he takes to this surface he should be able to get involved even of top weight. 40/1 is easily big enough to make it worth the risk. My other horse is Suegioo and I’ll probably have a small saver win only just in case.

1 Point EW Gavlar 40/1 6 places sky 5 places paddy/betfair

1 Point EW Clever Cookie 33/1 6 places sky 5 places paddy/betfair 40/1 4 places elsewhere

5:20 Curragh

I’m utterly stuck here between 3 bets . I think Wings of Eagles could just walk this as he is improving rapidly, essentially won the Epson Derby with a fair bit in hand and should be really suited by the Curragh. Douglas Macarthur is certainly the second best of Aidan’s but 14/1 isn’t really an ew price. 100/1 is too big for The Anvil on his Chester run if we can ignore the Epson run. I’ve had another look at the French Derby and I think Waldgeist if far too short here.

The Anvil had to work far too hard uphill in the early stages of the Epson Derby to have any hope of staying there come the finish, whereas Douglas McArthur was running within his comfort zone on the uphill part. I think Taj Mahal isn’t good enough as he is now fully exposed and I don’t think Capri is value at 9/1. If in doubt no AOB horse is 100/1 in this race and on his Chester run I’m going to go with the hugely predictable selection of The Anvil at 100/1.  Let’s face it he is a 66/1 shot here but that is just too much of a margin to give up. We’ll know our fate early because if he goes to the front but doesn’t go mad there like Epson he may be a bit more difficult to pass here.

1 Point EW 100/1 365 ¼ place The Anvil 1/5 place elsewhere

4:10 Curragh

Tinder is the outsider of the field here but she has some very good form as a 2yo and we can safely ignore her last run over too short a trip. She was 3^rd of this mark in the Birdcatcher last year and I wouldn’t be at all surprised is she finds improvement here for a stable in form, stepped up in trip.  25/1 is worth the risk.

1 Point win 25/1 365/sky/stan

3:40 Curragh

We’ve decided to follow Dinkum Diamond and were getting a decent price here because of a poor run last time out. This might just be his trip and I’ll take a chance at a huge price that he can improve today 25/1 is worth the risk

1 Point win 25/1 Generally

3:00 Newcastle

Velvet Revolution may not have been suited by either the Firm Ground of the slow race last time out but does look a horse to follow over these trips and is less exposed than most of the field. The stable looks to be getting back to form and 14/1 is value

1 Point win 14/1 Generally