Ascot 3:05

I’m struck here by the market as it looks the wrong way around to me. Nothing at all has gone right for Across the Stars in his last 2 runs at Lingfield and the Derby and I really fancy his to prove the best of the English Derby failures on show here. He probably looked the best in the Lingfoeld Derby trial and I would have him in here as a fairly solid 7/1 shot at best. The 12/1 on offer everywhere looks great value. I don’t really rate the favourite.

2 Points win 12/1 generally.

Fair Play to Frankie here for the 3rd time this week he prodived us with a winner, and for the second time with a superlative ride.

Ascot 5:00

As always when looking for a big price we are going to have to forgive a bad run or something ,and that’s exactly what’s needed here. Windshear  was a very solid 12 furlong horse last year against some top class opposition and if he were to recover that after a break since his last poor run at Doncaster he would stand a chance here. He has some form on soft and is down to a workable mark. He also has some useful Royal Ascot form when 2^nd in the King George Handicap 2 years ago. This race looks littered with horses that are probably too high in the weights and 33/1 looks value.

1 Point EW 33/1 Stan/Coral/Betfair

Never in it really

Ascot 3:40

Buratino could well be the 2^nd best horse in this race as he went too early against the favourite last time out and got passed by Donjuan Triumphant near the finish. To me he still looked like the best of the others and although we have to ignore the soft ground my gut is around here over  6 he will be very competitive and 18/1 looks huge. He is also 10/1 w/o the Favourite. If I leave her out there is just no way he is a 10/1 shot here and that’s what ill go for.

1 Point win w/o Fav 10/1 365 9/1 vc/paddy Non-Runner

4:20 Ascot

There aren’t many of these races in the Calendar and last year Mille Et Mille ran away with the only other Group 1 of this type at Longchamp and then backed that up with a very good run against a possible star in Vazirbad . He was poor on his reappearance but surly this race is the plan. I’m not sure there is a lot between all the English horses who all look about the same standard. The favourite could well run away with this but I think an EW bet on my selection is the best value bet as this track will suit a front runner and he may not be passed by enough horses to get knocked out of the places here.

1 Point EW 40/1 Paddy/VCbet 33/1 4 places with betfair

 What a run from this horse. I got a fair buzz coming around the final bend here thinkign he was goign to win. The winner is a monster though and would take beating in my opinion in the Ark.

Ascot 5:00

I often fall into the trap in these types of races of going with an overexposed one with good form in the bag rather than the ones that can improve near the front of the market. In this case i can’t resist a bet on Palawan at a huge price. He has a couple of eye-popping runs last year behind some very good horses and if we can forgive him a not so bad reappearance on the AW and then not staying the 10 furlong trip of his net run he may well be able to get competitive here at a huge price. He has some very decent form on softer ground as well and has been dropped significantly in mark this year after those poorer runs. 66/1 makes it worthwhile.

1 Point EW 66/1 5 Places 365/lads/sky/coral

Poor all the Way.

4:20 Ascot

The favourite is far too short and Found has been to every dance lately. The Great Gatsby represents some of the best 10 furlong form from the last 2 years, and if he is ready to go here some of the current prices are pure madness. He has also run well before of a long break and this race could be a very poor one. He is 14/1 With Betfair and 12/1 With Paddy, they are silly prices.

2 Points win 12/1 Paddy 14/1 Betfair

Looked in need of the run. The worlds best horse proved he was no such thing. Founf was very unluck here.

5:00 Ascot

Hors DE Combat really caught the eye for me last time when not getting any run at all behind Always Smile. He has a very decent 7lbs claimer on tomorrow and can surly perform on this mark. I actually got into the car to back him in paddy power with 6 places at 33/1 but unfortunately that was gone by the time I got in. He is generally 25/1 with 5 places but anyone with a paddy account 6 places is a nice extra. He has plenty of group class form which will be needed to win this race.

2 Points EW 25/1 6 Places  Paddy 5 Places sky/tote/boyles

Very poor and one of the first beaten

Ascot 5:00

Belgian Bill has a fairly remarkable record when running of a break of at least 3 months. It reads something like 2214220213126. He is very solid of this mark and loves Ascot. Ok he is getting on a bit but my guess is hell be competitive here at a huge price of 50/1. He ran well at Mayden, and given his nice break since then today is the day to catch him. I’m going to have a small win saver on old favourite Emell as he is likely to get involved here of this mark with some decent soft ground form and the TV would be in danger if he were to win here at a huge price.

1 Point EW Belgian Bill  50/1 6 places Paddy Power 5 Places sky/vc/stan/betfair

Non Runner

½ Point win Emell 66/1 sky/stan 100/1 betfair

Ran well but couldnt get into it near the end

Ascot 3:40

Lucida is a group 1 horse without a penalty here. She was right out of the top class last year and although she was poor last time out on her reappearance she more than likely wouldn’t be here if she wasn’t going to improve for that run. The favourite looked very good at Newmarket but had the advantage of a couple of runs over the opposition and won’t have that advantage here she is too short.

1 Point win 9/1 Generally

Ran well got shuffled back early and couldnt make up the ground

Ascot 3:05

All i can see in Sun at Ascot and the forecast is for very little rain today. As the outlook has got better and the price has got bigger i cant resist a bet on Lady Aurelia at 3/1 now. Her time from the US is off the charts and her trainer knows whats required here in this type of race. I don’t see anything really sticking out in the race and her run style will be suited to Ascot the same as many of her (supposedly inferior) stable mates from the past. 3/1 could look a bargain just before the race as im sure people will loose their mind close to the race.

2 Points win 3/1 Generally

Simple the Best Performance in the History of flat racing. Im around a whie and ive never seen anything like that.

Ascot 2:30

I’ve went through every piece of form in this race and in the end that 1 that stood out was Arod’s 2^nd in last years Sussex. He was a fair bit clear of a very solid field behind Solow and if he reproduces that here he won’t be far away. We’ll forgive him his seasonal opener as today will be the plan. The ground is a bit of an unknown factor but at 33/1 its worth the risk.

1 Point EW 33/1 Generally NON Runner

Ascot 3:40

The top 2 are too short here and there is a fair few overrated horses in this. If it was to stay sunny and the ground got anywhere near good Muthmir would be great value at 16/1 but that looks unlikely and I’m going to go for an possible improver here in Cotai Glory . There isn’t a horse around that could have pegged back Take Cover last time out having had the run of the race and that horse may also outrun his price here today, but Cotai Glory travels so well that I fancy that this race will suit him if he can perform on the ground.  Cotai hasn’t had the best of luck in running a few times and hopefully he will get his run today. 33/1 looks a bit of value EW with 4 places. I’m going to have a small win bet on Take Cover at a big price as well as he seems to in the form of his life at the moment and could be hard to catch.

1 Point EW Cotai Glory 33/1 4 places tote/fred/lads/coral 5 Places Sky

1 Point win Take Cover 28/1 365/sky/vc

Cotai Glory fulfilled all his potential with a mindbending close call here at a huge price

Ascot 4:20

Having had another looks at the Irish 2000 I’m all over Galileo Gold here at a huge looking 13/2. The winner had flown by the time he had started his run and he stuck on superbly in the closing stages. There is at best nothing between them and possibly he can turn the tables here with even luck. The Gurkha beat nothing last time out and won easily the weakest of the 2000’s, obviously he could be anything but in my view they should be all around the same price. 13/2 is about double the price he should be and those margins have to be taken. Of particular note is he is certain to like the ground so I’m not sure where the negativity is coming from.

4 Points win 13/2 Paddy/VC/lads/betfair

Fantastic ride by frankie and a very rare 4 point bet. We dont put this may points at stake too often with that much confidence, so thankfully it worked out.

Ascot 5:35

I like to look of Pedestal here . He broke fast last time and despite running very green won really well from a very decent yardstick. I’m surprised he is available at 14/1.

1 Point win 14/1 Generally

Good run in 3rd

Ascot 5:00

I’m going with a gut feeling selection here in Montaly. He was a big eye-catcher last year at Ascot over what looks too short a trip of a higher mark than this.  I’m willing to ignore his first run this year as surly today has been the plan. He is a massive 40/1 and is till relatively unexposed over this trip

1 PointsEW 40/1 Generally

We were close again here when he ran  agreat race in 5th.

4 Horse’s put up for today including a 4pt win bet.

3 Big Priced ones just sent for today

I put up Shogun at 50/1 earlier this week and anyone who has a skybet account should be emptieng the clip on Shogun at 40/1 with 5 places. He looks unlikely to be the pacemaker as he’d be too slow and is sure to improve for the step up in trip.

Knock em over.

Ive put up a couple of real big bullits for the sprint

Couple of big priced selections sent including a 4 point Bet for the Derby

2 Confident bets for today and a double in case.